CausalKG: Causal Knowledge Graph Explainability using interventional and counterfactual reasoning

Humans use causality and hypothetical retrospection in their daily decision-making, planning, and understanding of life events. The human mind, while retrospecting a given situation, think about questions such as "What was the cause of the given situation?", "What would be the effect of my action?", or "Which action led to this effect?". It develops a causal model of the world, which learns with fewer data points, makes inferences, and contemplates counterfactual scenarios. The unseen, unknown, scenarios are known as counterfactuals. AI algorithms use a representation based on knowledge graphs (KG) to represent the concepts of time, space, and facts. A KG is a graphical data model which captures the semantic relationships between entities such as events, objects, or concepts. The existing KGs represent causal relationships extracted from texts based on linguistic patterns of noun phrases for causes and effects as in ConceptNet and WordNet. The current causality representation in KGs makes it challenging to support counterfactual reasoning. A richer representation of causality in AI systems using a KG-based approach is needed for better explainability, and support for intervention and counterfactuals reasoning, leading to improved understanding of AI systems by humans. The causality representation requires a higher representation framework to define the context, the causal information, and the causal effects. The proposed Causal Knowledge Graph (CausalKG) framework, leverages recent progress of causality and KG towards explainability. CausalKG intends to address the lack of a domain adaptable causal model and represent the complex causal relations using the hyper-relational graph representation in the KG. We show that the CausalKG's interventional and counterfactual reasoning can be used by the AI system for the domain explainability.

Towards Tractable Mathematical Reasoning: Challenges, Strategies, and Opportunities for Solving Math Word Problems

Mathematical reasoning would be one of the next frontiers for artificial intelligence to make significant progress. The ongoing surge to solve math word problems (MWPs) and hence achieve better mathematical reasoning ability would continue to be a key line of research in the coming time. We inspect non-neural and neural methods to solve math word problems narrated in a natural language. We also highlight the ability of these methods to be generalizable, mathematically reasonable, interpretable, and explainable. Neural approaches dominate the current state of the art, and we survey them highlighting three strategies to MWP solving: (1) direct answer generation, (2) expression tree generation for inferring answers, and (3) template retrieval for answer computation. Moreover, we discuss technological approaches, review the evolution of intuitive design choices to solve MWPs, and examine them for mathematical reasoning ability. We finally identify several gaps that warrant the need for external knowledge and knowledge-infused learning, among several other opportunities in solving MWPs.

Evaluating Biomedical BERT Models for Vocabulary Alignment at Scale in the UMLS Metathesaurus

The current UMLS (Unified Medical Language System) Metathesaurus construction process for integrating over 200 biomedical source vocabularies is expensive and error-prone as it relies on the lexical algorithms and human editors for deciding if the two biomedical terms are synonymous. Recent advances in Natural Language Processing such as Transformer models like BERT and its biomedical variants with contextualized word embeddings have achieved state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance on downstream tasks. We aim to validate if these approaches using the BERT models can actually outperform the existing approaches for predicting synonymy in the UMLS Metathesaurus. In the existing Siamese Networks with LSTM and BioWordVec embeddings, we replace the BioWordVec embeddings with the biomedical BERT embeddings extracted from each BERT model using different ways of extraction. In the Transformer architecture, we evaluate the use of the different biomedical BERT models that have been pre-trained using different datasets and tasks. Given the SOTA performance of these BERT models for other downstream tasks, our experiments yield surprisingly interesting results: (1) in both model architectures, the approaches employing these biomedical BERT-based models do not outperform the existing approaches using Siamese Network with BioWordVec embeddings for the UMLS synonymy prediction task, (2) the original BioBERT large model that has not been pre-trained with the UMLS outperforms the SapBERT models that have been pre-trained with the UMLS, and (3) using the Siamese Networks yields better performance for synonymy prediction when compared to using the biomedical BERT models.

Knowledge-intensive Language Understanding for Explainable AI

AI systems have seen significant adoption in various domains. At the same time, further adoption in some domains is hindered by inability to fully trust an AI system that it will not harm a human. Besides the concerns for fairness, privacy, transparency, and explainability are key to developing trusts in AI systems. As stated in describing trustworthy AI "Trust comes through understanding. How AI-led decisions are made and what determining factors were included are crucial to understand." The subarea of explaining AI systems has come to be known as XAI. Multiple aspects of an AI system can be explained; these include biases that the data might have, lack of data points in a particular region of the example space, fairness of gathering the data, feature importances, etc. However, besides these, it is critical to have human-centered explanations that are directly related to decision-making similar to how a domain expert makes decisions based on "domain knowledge," that also include well-established, peer-validated explicit guidelines. To understand and validate an AI system's outcomes (such as classification, recommendations, predictions), that lead to developing trust in the AI system, it is necessary to involve explicit domain knowledge that humans understand and use.

Knowledge Infused Policy Gradients with Upper Confidence Bound for Relational Bandits

Contextual Bandits find important use cases in various real-life scenarios such as online advertising, recommendation systems, healthcare, etc. However, most of the algorithms use flat feature vectors to represent context whereas, in the real world, there is a varying number of objects and relations among them to model in the context. For example, in a music recommendation system, the user context contains what music they listen to, which artists create this music, the artist albums, etc. Adding richer relational context representations also introduces a much larger context space making exploration-exploitation harder. To improve the efficiency of exploration-exploitation knowledge about the context can be infused to guide the exploration-exploitation strategy. Relational context representations allow a natural way for humans to specify knowledge owing to their descriptive nature. We propose an adaptation of Knowledge Infused Policy Gradients to the Contextual Bandit setting and a novel Knowledge Infused Policy Gradients Upper Confidence Bound algorithm and perform an experimental analysis of a simulated music recommendation dataset and various real-life datasets where expert knowledge can drastically reduce the total regret and where it cannot.

"Who can help me?": Knowledge Infused Matching of Support Seekers and Support Providers during COVID-19 on Reddit

During the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, subreddits on Reddit, such as r/Coronavirus saw a rapid growth in user's requests for help (support seekers - SSs) including individuals with varying professions and experiences with diverse perspectives on care (support providers - SPs). Currently, knowledgeable human moderators match an SS with a user with relevant experience, i.e, an SP on these subreddits. This unscalable process defers timely care. We present a medical knowledge-infused approach to efficient matching of SS and SPs validated by experts for the users affected by anxiety and depression, in the context of with COVID-19. After matching, each SP to an SS labeled as either supportive, informative, or similar (sharing experiences) using the principles of natural language inference. Evaluation by 21 domain experts indicates the efficacy of incorporated knowledge and shows the efficacy the matching system.

The Duality of Data and Knowledge Across the Three Waves of AI

We discuss how over the last 30 to 50 years, Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems that focused only on data have been handicapped, and how knowledge has been critical in developing smarter, intelligent, and more effective systems. In fact, the vast progress in AI can be viewed in terms of the three waves of AI as identified by DARPA. During the first wave, handcrafted knowledge has been at the center-piece, while during the second wave, the data-driven approaches supplanted knowledge. Now we see a strong role and resurgence of knowledge fueling major breakthroughs in the third wave of AI underpinning future intelligent systems as they attempt human-like decision making, and seek to become trusted assistants and companions for humans. We find a wider availability of knowledge created from diverse sources, using manual to automated means both by repurposing as well as by extraction. Using knowledge with statistical learning is becoming increasingly indispensable to help make AI systems more transparent and auditable. We will draw a parallel with the role of knowledge and experience in human intelligence based on cognitive science, and discuss emerging neuro-symbolic or hybrid AI systems in which knowledge is the critical enabler for combining capabilities of the data-intensive statistical AI systems with those of symbolic AI systems, resulting in more capable AI systems that support more human-like intelligence.

KI-BERT: Infusing Knowledge Context for Better Language and Domain Understanding

Contextualized entity representations learned by state-of-the-art deep learning models (BERT, GPT, T5, etc) leverage the attention mechanism to learn the data context. However, these models are still blind to leverage the knowledge context present in the knowledge graph. Knowledge context can be understood as semantics about entities, and their relationship with neighboring entities in knowledge graphs. We propose a novel and effective technique to infuse knowledge context from knowledge graphs for conceptual and ambiguous entities into models based on transformer architecture. Our novel technique project knowledge graph embedding in the homogeneous vector-space, introduces new token-types for entities, align entity position ids, and a selective attention mechanism. We take BERT as a baseline model and implement "KnowledgeInfused BERT" by infusing knowledge context from ConceptNet and WordNet, which significantly outperforms BERT over a wide range of NLP tasks over eight different GLUE datasets. KI-BERT-base model even outperforms BERT-large for domain-specific tasks like SciTail and academic subsets of QQP, QNLI, and MNLI.

Characterization of Time-variant and Time-invariant Assessment of Suicidality on Reddit using C-SSRS

Suicide is the 10th leading cause of death in the U.S (1999-2019). However, predicting when someone will attempt suicide has been nearly impossible. In the modern world, many individuals suffering from mental illness seek emotional support and advice on well-known and easily-accessible social media platforms such as Reddit. While prior artificial intelligence research has demonstrated the ability to extract valuable information from social media on suicidal thoughts and behaviors, these efforts have not considered both severity and temporality of risk. The insights made possible by access to such data have enormous clinical potential - most dramatically envisioned as a trigger to employ timely and targeted interventions (i.e., voluntary and involuntary psychiatric hospitalization) to save lives. In this work, we address this knowledge gap by developing deep learning algorithms to assess suicide risk in terms of severity and temporality from Reddit data based on the Columbia Suicide Severity Rating Scale (C-SSRS). In particular, we employ two deep learning approaches: time-variant and time-invariant modeling, for user-level suicide risk assessment, and evaluate their performance against a clinician-adjudicated gold standard Reddit corpus annotated based on the C-SSRS. Our results suggest that the time-variant approach outperforms the time-invariant method in the assessment of suicide-related ideations and supportive behaviors (AUC:0.78), while the time-invariant model performed better in predicting suicide-related behaviors and suicide attempt (AUC:0.64). The proposed approach can be integrated with clinical diagnostic interviews for improving suicide risk assessments.

eDarkTrends: Harnessing Social Media Trends in Substance use disorders for Opioid Listings on Cryptomarket

Opioid and substance misuse is rampant in the United States today, with the phenomenon known as the opioid crisis. The relationship between substance use and mental health has been extensively studied, with one possible relationship being substance misuse causes poor mental health. However, the lack of evidence on the relationship has resulted in opioids being largely inaccessible through legal means. This study analyzes the substance misuse posts on social media with the opioids being sold through crypto market listings. We use the Drug Abuse Ontology, state-of-the-art deep learning, and BERT-based models to generate sentiment and emotion for the social media posts to understand user perception on social media by investigating questions such as, which synthetic opioids people are optimistic, neutral, or negative about or what kind of drugs induced fear and sorrow or what kind of drugs people love or thankful about or which drug people think negatively about or which opioids cause little to no sentimental reaction. We also perform topic analysis associated with the generated sentiments and emotions to understand which topics correlate with people's responses to various drugs. Our findings can help shape policy to help isolate opioid use cases where timely intervention may be required to prevent adverse consequences, prevent overdose-related deaths, and worsen the epidemic.