Direct Causation in International Humanitarian Law and the Challenge of AI-Mediated Civilian Cyber Operations

International humanitarian law protects civilians from direct attack unless and for such time as they take direct part in hostilities, with the ICRC's 2009 Interpretive Guidance operationalising this rule through a three-criterion cumulative test. This paper argues that AI-mediated civilian cyber operations challenge the direct causation element of this test in a structurally specific way: when a civilian deploys an autonomous multi-agent cyber system of the kind recently demonstrated in offensive AI research, the "one causal step" standard fails because harm is produced by system-generated decisions made after human disengagement, and the integral-part requirement does not extend because it presupposes downstream human contributors whose conduct can be independently classified. The framework therefore defaults to treating such deployments as indirect participation, in tension with its purpose of capturing civilians who personally take part in hostilities. Beyond the doctrinal analysis, this paper identifies goal-specification granularity as the property on which the integral-part test's concreteness component implicitly turns, classifies AI-mediated operations along a five-level spectrum, and argues that existing technical AI governance instruments do not log or report this property.

Constitutional Arms Races in the Public Goods Game: Co-Evolving LLM Constitutions Under Cooperation-Defection Pressure

Frontier LLM agents engage in blackmail, sabotage, and document leaks under goal conflicts in agentic settings, exposing limitations of alignment methods built around single-agent or cooperative assumptions. Recent work shows LLM-guided evolutionary search can discover effective cooperative constitutions, but two properties of the adversarial setting remain uncharacterized: whether the fitness function actually induces adversarial pressure, and whether the LLM mutation operator behaves reliably under adversarial-specialist objectives. We study adversarial constitutional co-evolution (Blue cooperators vs. Red free-riders, 30 generations) across a Public Goods Game (PGG) and a spatial grid-world. Three findings: (1) in the PGG, both factions converge to a near-parity equilibrium at S approximately 0.78, robust across tested multipliers m in {1.2, 1.5, 2.0, 3.0}; (2) in independently scored environments, per-faction scoring leaves outcomes statistically uncoupled, with corr(S_B, S_R) = +0.088, and produces no adversarial pressure; a score-advantage fitness target S_own - S_opp restores it; (3) under pure-adversary fitness, evaluation seed count K controls mode regression: K = 2 regresses, while K = 5 sustains a strong specialist for all 30 generations. Adversarial co-evolution of natural-language constitutions is feasible, but only under coupled fitness and adequate evaluation budget; the evolved Red constitutions serve as interpretable red-team artifacts for testing future cooperative designs.

Evolving Interpretable Constitutions for Multi-Agent Simulation

Constitutional AI has focused on single-model alignment using fixed principles. However, multi-agent systems create novel alignment challenges through emergent social dynamics. We present Constitutional Evolution, a framework for automatically discovering behavioral norms in multi-agent LLM systems. Using a grid-world simulation with survival pressure, we study the tension between individual and collective welfare, quantified via a Societal Stability Score S in [0,1] that combines productivity, survival, and conflict metrics. Adversarial constitutions lead to societal collapse (S= 0), while vague prosocial principles ("be helpful, harmless, honest") produce inconsistent coordination (S = 0.249). Even constitutions designed by Claude 4.5 Opus with explicit knowledge of the objective achieve only moderate performance (S= 0.332). Using LLM-driven genetic programming with multi-island evolution, we evolve constitutions maximizing social welfare without explicit guidance toward cooperation. The evolved constitution C* achieves S = 0.556 +/- 0.008 (123% higher than human-designed baselines, N = 10), eliminates conflict, and discovers that minimizing communication (0.9% vs 62.2% social actions) outperforms verbose coordination. Our interpretable rules demonstrate that cooperative norms can be discovered rather than prescribed.