From Pen Strokes to Sleep States: Detecting Low-Recovery Days Using Sigma-Lognormal Handwriting Features

While handwriting has traditionally been studied for character recognition and disease classification, its potential to reflect day-to-day physiological fluctuations in healthy individuals remains unexplored. This study examines whether daily variations in sleep-related recovery states can be inferred from online handwriting dynamics. % We propose a personalized binary classification framework that detects low-recovery days using features derived from the Sigma-Lognormal model, which captures the neuromotor generation process of pen strokes. In a 28-day in-the-wild study involving 13 university students, handwriting was recorded three times daily, and nocturnal cardiac indicators were measured using a wearable ring. For each participant, the lowest (or highest) quartile of four sleep-related metrics -- HRV, lowest heart rate, average heart rate, and total sleep duration -- defined the positive class. Leave-One-Day-Out cross-validation showed that PR-AUC significantly exceeded the baseline (0.25) for all four variables after FDR correction, with the strongest performance observed for cardiac-related variables. Importantly, classification performance did not differ significantly across task types or recording timings, indicating that recovery-related signals are embedded in general movement dynamics. These results demonstrate that subtle within-person autonomic recovery fluctuations can be detected from everyday handwriting, opening a new direction for non-invasive, device-independent health monitoring.