Architecture-Adaptive Uncertainty Fusion for Deepfake Detection

Deepfake detection systems achieve near-perfect accuracy on benchmarks, yet forensic deployment demands reliable prediction uncertainty. Existing uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods rely on single sources and ignore that optimal uncertainty composition varies across architectures. We propose Correlation-Optimized Fusion (COF), an architecture-adaptive framework that fuses five complementary uncertainty sources -- epistemic, aleatoric, calibration, conformal, and distributional -- by maximizing Pearson correlation between fused uncertainty scores and prediction errors via constrained optimization on the probability simplex. COF requires no model modifications and only 42 s of weight optimization, compared to 20--45 h for a 5-model Deep Ensemble. Evaluation across eleven architectures on FaceForensics++ reveals a fundamental trade-off: under matched train/evaluation protocol, non-linear methods achieve approximately 5--6% higher in-domain correlation than COF (mean r = 0.438), but this reverses under distribution shift. On CelebDF, COF outperforms Random Forest in 9/11 architectures with up to 7.3x higher correlation (MaxViT-B: r = 0.249 vs. 0.034); RF degrades 85% cross-domain to r = 0.071, whereas COF retains substantially more signal (74% drop to r = 0.116). Cross-dataset evaluation on CelebDF and DFDC reveals catastrophic generalization failure across all methods: in-domain correlations of 0.41--0.47 collapse to near-zero externally (mean degradation 90.7%), with seven of eleven architectures exhibiting uncertainty inversion. These results establish COF as a practical, interpretable framework for controlled-distribution deployment and identify domain-adaptive UQ as the central open challenge for forensic deployment.

Multi-Column RBF Neural Network Using Adaptive and Non-Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimization

The radial basis function neural network (RBFN) trained with a gradient descending algorithm provides an effective fully connected structure in both shallow and deep networks. The error correction (ErrCor), a state-of-the-art gradient-based training method, selects optimal hidden units to improve accuracy. Alternatively, as a population-based algorithm, the particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) uses the swarm experience to optimize RBFN parameters, offering global search and robustness to local minima. Adaptive PSO (APSO) has emerged as an improved variant of PSO. APSO algorithm improves convergence speed by dynamically adjusting swarm parameters during optimization. Both ErrCor and PSO demonstrate improved results and competitive convergence. However, with large datasets, these methods face scalability challenges such as excessive kernel computations and large hidden layer structures. A recent multi-column RBFN approach (MCRN) improves ErrCor performance by deploying small RBFNs in a parallel system. Inspired by MCRN's success, we propose two novel approaches to improve PSO performance: the multi-column RBFN with PSO (MC-PSO) and the multi-column RBFN with APSO (MC-APSO). These methods introduce parallel RBFN structures trained using evolutionary swarm methods. Each RBFN is independently trained on a specific spatial subset of the dataset using either PSO or APSO algorithms. These resulting specialist-trained RBFNs are tailored to their respective subsets. During testing, only selected RBFNs, where the test instance neighbors are located, contribute to the multi-column output. This specialization improves accuracy, while parallelism enhances speed. We evaluate the proposed methods on various benchmark datasets. The MC-PSO and MC-APSO outperform ErrCor, PSO, APSO, and MCRN in terms of accuracy and recall. They also demonstrate faster training and testing times in most experiments.

Uncertainty-Aware Adaptive Sensor Fusion for Autonomous Navigation

This work introduces a hybrid deep learning approach integrated with an Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) to enhance pose estimation accuracy in Visual-Inertial Odometry (VIO) for autonomous navigation. The proposed model employs a Vision Transformer (ViT) network to effectively capture temporal dependencies from inertial measurement unit (IMU) data and utilizes a Multiscale Convolutional Neural Network (MCNN) to learn optical flow-based motion cues from visual data. An adaptive sensor fusion module dynamically weights IMU and visual features by leveraging estimated uncertainty, thus improving robustness in diverse and challenging environmental conditions. Additionally, a novel uncertainty-aware loss function is proposed to explicitly incorporate prediction uncertainty into the learning process, enabling robust and accurate navigation under noisy, incomplete, or unreliable sensor inputs. Comprehensive evaluations of the KITTI dataset demonstrate that the proposed method significantly outperforms baseline approaches, achieving superior performance in terms of Absolute Trajectory Error (ATE) and Relative Pose Error (RPE). The lightweight and computationally efficient model processes data at 155 FPS on an NVIDIA A100 GPU, making it highly suitable for deployment in resource-constrained autonomous systems.

Adaptive Policy Selection and Fine-Tuning under Interaction Budgets for Offline-to-Online Reinforcement Learning

In offline-to-online reinforcement learning (O2O-RL), policies are first safely trained offline using previously collected datasets and then further fine-tuned for tasks via limited online interactions. In a typical O2O-RL pipeline, candidate policies trained with offline RL are evaluated via either off-policy evaluation (OPE) or online evaluation (OE). The policy with the highest estimated value is then deployed and continually fine-tuned. However, this setup has two main issues. First, OPE can be unreliable, making it risky to deploy a policy based solely on those estimates, whereas OE may identify a viable policy with substantial online interaction, which could have been used for fine-tuning. Second--and more importantly--it is also often not possible to determine a priori whether a pretrained policy will improve with post-deployment fine-tuning, especially in non-stationary environments. As a result, procedures committing to a single deployed policy are impractical in many real-world settings. Moreover, a naive remedy that exhaustively fine-tunes all candidates would violate interaction budget constraints and is likewise infeasible. In this paper, we propose a novel adaptive approach for policy selection and fine-tuning under online interaction budgets in O2O-RL. Following the standard pipeline, we first train a set of candidate policies with different offline RL algorithms and hyperparameters; we then perform OPE to obtain initial performance estimates. We next adaptively select and fine-tune the policies based on their predicted performance via an upper-confidence-bound approach thereby making efficient use of online interactions. We demonstrate that our approach improves upon O2O-RL baselines with various benchmarks.