Cloud-Edge Collaborative Large Models for Robust Photovoltaic Power Forecasting

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting in edge-enabled grids requires balancing forecasting accuracy, robustness under weather-driven distribution shifts, and strict latency constraints. Existing models work well under normal conditions but often struggle with rare ramp events and unexpected weather changes. Relying solely on cloud-based large models often leads to significant communication delays, which can hinder timely and efficient forecasting in practical grid environments. To address these issues, we propose a condition-adaptive cloud-edge collaborative framework *CAPE* for PV forecasting. *CAPE* consists of three main modules: a site-specific expert model for routine predictions, a lightweight edge-side model for enhanced local inference, and a cloud-based large retrieval model that provides relevant historical cases when needed. These modules are coordinated by a screening module that evaluates uncertainty, out-of-distribution risk, weather mutations, and model disagreement. Furthermore, we employ a Lyapunov-guided routing strategy to dynamically determine when to escalate inference to more powerful models under long-term system constraints. The final forecast is produced through adaptive fusion of the selected model outputs. Experiments on two real-world PV datasets demonstrate that *CAPE* achieves superior performance in terms of forecasting accuracy, robustness, routing quality, and system efficiency.

On-Device Training of PV Power Forecasting Models in a Smart Meter for Grid Edge Intelligence

In this paper, an edge-side model training study is conducted on a resource-limited smart meter. The motivation of grid-edge intelligence and the concept of on-device training are introduced. Then, the technical preparation steps for on-device training are described. A case study on the task of photovoltaic power forecasting is presented, where two representative machine learning models are investigated: a gradient boosting tree model and a recurrent neural network model. To adapt to the resource-limited situation in the smart meter, "mixed"- and "reduced"-precision training schemes are also devised. Experiment results demonstrate the feasibility of economically achieving grid-edge intelligence via the existing advanced metering infrastructures.