Signal-Aware Conditional Diffusion Surrogates for Transonic Wing Pressure Prediction

Accurate and efficient surrogate models for aerodynamic surface pressure fields are essential for accelerating aircraft design and analysis, yet deterministic regressors trained with pointwise losses often smooth sharp nonlinear features. This work presents a conditional denoising diffusion probabilistic model for predicting surface pressure distributions on the NASA Common Research Model wing under varying conditions of Mach number, angle of attack, and four control surface deflections. The framework operates on unstructured surface data through a principal component representation used as a non-truncated, reversible linear reparameterization of the pressure field, enabling a fully connected architecture. A signal-aware training objective is derived by propagating a reconstruction loss through the diffusion process, yielding a timestep-dependent weighting that improves fidelity in regions with strong pressure gradients. The stochastic sampling process is analyzed through repeated conditional generations, and two diagnostic metrics are introduced, the Local Reliability Index and Global Reliability Index, to relate sampling-induced spread to reconstruction error. Relative to the considered deterministic baselines, the proposed formulation reduces mean absolute error and improves the reconstruction of suction peaks, shock structures, and control surface discontinuities. The sampling-induced spread exhibits strong correspondence with surrogate error, supporting its interpretation as a qualitative reliability indicator rather than calibrated uncertainty quantification.

Towards aerodynamic surrogate modeling based on $β$-variational autoencoders

Surrogate models combining dimensionality reduction and regression techniques are essential to reduce the need for costly high-fidelity CFD data. New approaches using $\beta$-Variational Autoencoder ($\beta$-VAE) architectures have shown promise in obtaining high-quality low-dimensional representations of high-dimensional flow data while enabling physical interpretation of their latent spaces. We propose a surrogate model based on latent space regression to predict pressure distributions on a transonic wing given the flight conditions: Mach number and angle of attack. The $\beta$-VAE model, enhanced with Principal Component Analysis (PCA), maps high-dimensional data to a low-dimensional latent space, showing a direct correlation with flight conditions. Regularization through $\beta$ requires careful tuning to improve the overall performance, while PCA pre-processing aids in constructing an effective latent space, improving autoencoder training and performance. Gaussian Process Regression is used to predict latent space variables from flight conditions, showing robust behavior independent of $\beta$, and the decoder reconstructs the high-dimensional pressure field data. This pipeline provides insight into unexplored flight conditions. Additionally, a fine-tuning process of the decoder further refines the model, reducing dependency on $\beta$ and enhancing accuracy. The structured latent space, robust regression performance, and significant improvements from fine-tuning collectively create a highly accurate and efficient surrogate model. Our methodology demonstrates the effectiveness of $\beta$-VAEs for aerodynamic surrogate modeling, offering a rapid, cost-effective, and reliable alternative for aerodynamic data prediction.