A practical probabilistic framework for deformable image registration uncertainty in radiotherapy dose propagation

Deformable image registration (DIR) is widely used in radiotherapy for dose propagation and accumulation, but uncertainty in the underlying deformation can substantially affect clinically relevant dose estimates. We present a practical probabilistic framework for propagating DIR uncertainty to voxel-wise dose statistics and dose-volume histograms (DVHs). The method models the mapped correspondence at each voxel as a random variable governed by a transparent local certainty map that can be defined by simple safety margins, structure-boundary mismatch, or structure-wise conservative uncertainty values. This yields interpretable quantities such as dose probabilities, expected dose, confidence bounds, and induced DVH envelopes. The framework is designed to remain lightweight and interpretable: it avoids complex biomechanical or ensemble-based uncertainty models and instead emphasizes simple parameterization, computational feasibility, and transparent dose metrics. We further introduce a structure-guided in/out strategy as an optional refinement that restricts mapping probabilities to anatomically plausible target regions. The approach is demonstrated on a prostate radiotherapy case study and used to compare different certainty-map strategies and probability kernels. The experiments show that the certainty-map design has a stronger effect on resulting dose and DVH uncertainty bounds than the specific kernel choice, while the additional benefit of the in/out strategy is case-dependent and modest in the present example. Overall, the proposed framework provides a transparent way to incorporate DIR uncertainty into radiotherapy dose assessment and to study how modelling choices affect propagated dose metrics.

Learn2Reg: comprehensive multi-task medical image registration challenge, dataset and evaluation in the era of deep learning

Image registration is a fundamental medical image analysis task, and a wide variety of approaches have been proposed. However, only a few studies have comprehensively compared medical image registration approaches on a wide range of clinically relevant tasks, in part because of the lack of availability of such diverse data. This limits the development of registration methods, the adoption of research advances into practice, and a fair benchmark across competing approaches. The Learn2Reg challenge addresses these limitations by providing a multi-task medical image registration benchmark for comprehensive characterisation of deformable registration algorithms. A continuous evaluation will be possible at https://learn2reg.grand-challenge.org. Learn2Reg covers a wide range of anatomies (brain, abdomen, and thorax), modalities (ultrasound, CT, MR), availability of annotations, as well as intra- and inter-patient registration evaluation. We established an easily accessible framework for training and validation of 3D registration methods, which enabled the compilation of results of over 65 individual method submissions from more than 20 unique teams. We used a complementary set of metrics, including robustness, accuracy, plausibility, and runtime, enabling unique insight into the current state-of-the-art of medical image registration. This paper describes datasets, tasks, evaluation methods and results of the challenge, and the results of further analysis of transferability to new datasets, the importance of label supervision, and resulting bias.

Enhancing Label-Driven Deep Deformable Image Registration with Local Distance Metrics for State-of-the-Art Cardiac Motion Tracking

While deep learning has achieved significant advances in accuracy for medical image segmentation, its benefits for deformable image registration have so far remained limited to reduced computation times. Previous work has either focused on replacing the iterative optimization of distance and smoothness terms with CNN-layers or using supervised approaches driven by labels. Our method is the first to combine the complementary strengths of global semantic information (represented by segmentation labels) and local distance metrics that help align surrounding structures. We demonstrate significant higher Dice scores (of 86.5\%) for deformable cardiac image registration compared to classic registration (79.0\%) as well as label-driven deep learning frameworks (83.4\%).