Resolving space-sharing conflicts in road user interactions through uncertainty reduction: An active inference-based computational model

Understanding how road users resolve space-sharing conflicts is important both for traffic safety and the safe deployment of autonomous vehicles. While existing models have captured specific aspects of such interactions (e.g., explicit communication), a theoretically-grounded computational framework has been lacking. In this paper, we extend a previously developed active inference-based driver behavior model to simulate interactive behavior of two agents. Our model captures three complementary mechanisms for uncertainty reduction in interaction: (i) implicit communication via direct behavioral coupling, (ii) reliance on normative expectations (stop signs, priority rules, etc.), and (iii) explicit communication. In a simplified intersection scenario, we show that normative and explicit communication cues can increase the likelihood of a successful conflict resolution. However, this relies on agents acting as expected. In situations where another agent (intentionally or unintentionally) violates normative expectations or communicates misleading information, reliance on these cues may induce collisions. These findings illustrate how active inference can provide a novel framework for modeling road user interactions which is also applicable in other fields.

Automated Brake Onset Detection in Naturalistic Driving Data

Response timing measures play a crucial role in the assessment of automated driving systems (ADS) in collision avoidance scenarios, including but not limited to establishing human benchmarks and comparing ADS to human driver response performance. For example, measuring the response time (of a human driver or ADS) to a conflict requires the determination of a stimulus onset and a response onset. In existing studies, response onset relies on manual annotation or vehicle control signals such as accelerator and brake pedal movements. These methods are not applicable when analyzing large scale data where vehicle control signals are not available. This holds in particular for the rapidly expanding sets of ADS log data where the behavior of surrounding road users is observed via onboard sensors. To advance evaluation techniques for ADS and enable measuring response timing when vehicle control signals are not available, we developed a simple and efficient algorithm, based on a piecewise linear acceleration model, to automatically estimate brake onset that can be applied to any type of driving data that includes vehicle longitudinal time series data. We also proposed a manual annotation method to identify brake onset and used it as ground truth for validation. R2 was used as a confidence metric to measure the accuracy of the algorithm, and its classification performance was analyzed using naturalistic collision avoidance data of both ADS and humans, where our method was validated against human manual annotation. Although our algorithm is subject to certain limitations, it is efficient, generalizable, applicable to any road user and scenario types, and is highly configurable.

Kinematic Characterization of Micro-Mobility Vehicles During Evasive Maneuvers

There is an increasing need to comprehensively characterize the kinematic performances of different Micromobility Vehicles (MMVs). This study aims to: 1) characterize the kinematic behaviors of different MMVs during emergency maneuvers; 2) explore the influence of different MMV power sources on the device performances; 3) investigate if piecewise linear models are suitable for modeling MMV trajectories. A test track experiment where 40 frequent riders performed emergency braking and swerving maneuvers riding a subset of electric MMVs, their traditional counterparts, and, in some cases, behaving as running pedestrians. A second experiment was conducted to determine the MMVs swerving lower boundaries. Device power source resulted having a statistically significant influence on kinematic capabilities of the MMVs: while e-MMVs displayed superior braking capabilities compared to their traditional counterparts, the opposite was observed in terms of swerving performance. Furthermore, performances varied significantly across the different MMV typologies, with handlebar-based devices consistently outperforming the handlebar-less devices across the metrics considered. The piecewise linear models used for braking profiles fit well for most MMVs, except for skateboards and pedestrians due to foot-ground engagement. These findings underscore that the effectiveness of steering or braking in preventing collisions may vary depending on the type and power source of the device. This study also demonstrates the applicability of piecewise linear models for generating parameterized functions that accurately model braking trajectories, providing a valuable resource for automated systems developers. The model, however, also reveals that the single brake ramp assumption does not apply for certain types of MMVs or for pedestrians, indicating the necessity for further improvements.