BiasBuster: a Neural Approach for Accurate Estimation of Population Statistics using Biased Location Data

While extremely useful (e.g., for COVID-19 forecasting and policy-making, urban mobility analysis and marketing, and obtaining business insights), location data collected from mobile devices often contain data from a biased population subset, with some communities over or underrepresented in the collected datasets. As a result, aggregate statistics calculated from such datasets (as is done by various companies including Safegraph, Google, and Facebook), while ignoring the bias, leads to an inaccurate representation of population statistics. Such statistics will not only be generally inaccurate, but the error will disproportionately impact different population subgroups (e.g., because they ignore the underrepresented communities). This has dire consequences, as these datasets are used for sensitive decision-making such as COVID-19 policymaking. This paper tackles the problem of providing accurate population statistics using such biased datasets. We show that statistical debiasing, although in some cases useful, often fails to improve accuracy. We then propose BiasBuster, a neural network approach that utilizes the correlations between population statistics and location characteristics to provide accurate estimates of population statistics. Extensive experiments on real-world data show that BiasBuster improves accuracy by up to 2 times in general and up to 3 times for underrepresented populations.

On Distribution Dependent Sub-Logarithmic Query Time of Learned Indexing

A fundamental problem in data management is to find the elements in an array that match a query. Recently, learned indexes are being extensively used to solve this problem, where they learn a model to predict the location of the items in the array. They are empirically shown to outperform non-learned methods (e.g., B-trees or binary search that answer queries in $O(\log n)$ time) by orders of magnitude. However, success of learned indexes has not been theoretically justified. Only existing attempt shows the same query time of $O(\log n)$, but with a constant factor improvement in space complexity over non-learned methods, under some assumptions on data distribution. In this paper, we significantly strengthen this result, showing that under mild assumptions on data distribution, and the same space complexity as non-learned methods, learned indexes can answer queries in $O(\log\log n)$ expected query time. We also show that allowing for slightly larger but still near-linear space overhead, a learned index can achieve $O(1)$ expected query time. Our results theoretically prove learned indexes are orders of magnitude faster than non-learned methods, theoretically grounding their empirical success.

Towards Accurate Spatiotemporal COVID-19 Risk Scores using High Resolution Real-World Mobility Data

As countries look towards re-opening of economic activities amidst the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, ensuring public health has been challenging. While contact tracing only aims to track past activities of infected users, one path to safe reopening is to develop reliable spatiotemporal risk scores to indicate the propensity of the disease. Existing works which aim to develop risk scores either rely on compartmental model-based reproduction numbers (which assume uniform population mixing) or develop coarse-grain spatial scores based on reproduction number (R0) and macro-level density-based mobility statistics. Instead, in this paper, we develop a Hawkes process-based technique to assign relatively fine-grain spatial and temporal risk scores by leveraging high-resolution mobility data based on cell-phone originated location signals. While COVID-19 risk scores also depend on a number of factors specific to an individual, including demography and existing medical conditions, the primary mode of disease transmission is via physical proximity and contact. Therefore, we focus on developing risk scores based on location density and mobility behaviour. We demonstrate the efficacy of the developed risk scores via simulation based on real-world mobility data. Our results show that fine-grain spatiotemporal risk scores based on high-resolution mobility data can provide useful insights and facilitate safe re-opening.

Finding Average Regret Ratio Minimizing Set in Database

Selecting a certain number of data points (or records) from a database which "best" satisfy users' expectations is a very prevalent problem with many applications. One application is a hotel booking website showing a certain number of hotels on a single page. However, this problem is very challenging since the selected points should "collectively" satisfy the expectation of all users. Showing a certain number of data points to a single user could decrease the satisfaction of a user because the user may not be able to see his/her favorite point which could be found in the original database. In this paper, we would like to find a set of k points such that on average, the satisfaction (ratio) of a user is maximized. This problem takes into account the probability distribution of the users and considers the satisfaction (ratio) of all users, which is more reasonable in practice, compared with the existing studies that only consider the worst-case satisfaction (ratio) of the users, which may not reflect the whole population and is not useful in some applications. Motivated by this, in this paper, we propose algorithms for this problem. Finally, we conducted experiments to show the effectiveness and the efficiency of the algorithms.