Causal Learning Should Embrace the Wisdom of the Crowd

Learning causal structures typically represented by directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from observational data is notoriously challenging due to the combinatorial explosion of possible graphs and inherent ambiguities in observations. This paper argues that causal learning is now ready for the emergence of a new paradigm supported by rapidly advancing technologies, fulfilling the long-standing vision of leveraging human causal knowledge. This paradigm integrates scalable crowdsourcing platforms for data collection, interactive knowledge elicitation for expert opinion modeling, robust aggregation techniques for expert reconciliation, and large language model (LLM)-based simulation for augmenting AI-driven information acquisition. In this paper, we focus on DAG learning for causal discovery and frame the problem as a distributed decision-making task, recognizing that each participant (human expert or LLM agent) possesses fragmented and imperfect knowledge about different subsets of the variables of interest in the causal graph. By proposing a systematic framework to synthesize these insights, we aim to enable the recovery of a global causal structure unachievable by any individual agent alone. We advocate for a new research frontier and outline a comprehensive framework for new research thrusts that range from eliciting, modeling, aggregating, and optimizing human causal knowledge contributions.

Team, Then Trim: An Assembly-Line LLM Framework for High-Quality Tabular Data Generation

While tabular data is fundamental to many real-world machine learning (ML) applications, acquiring high-quality tabular data is usually labor-intensive and expensive. Limited by the scarcity of observations, tabular datasets often exhibit critical deficiencies, such as class imbalance, selection bias, and low fidelity. To address these challenges, building on recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs), this paper introduces Team-then-Trim (T$^2$), a framework that synthesizes high-quality tabular data through a collaborative team of LLMs, followed by a rigorous three-stage plug-in data quality control (QC) pipeline. In T$^2$, tabular data generation is conceptualized as a manufacturing process: specialized LLMs, guided by domain knowledge, are tasked with generating different data components sequentially, and the resulting products, i.e., the synthetic data, are systematically evaluated across multiple dimensions of QC. Empirical results on both simulated and real-world datasets demonstrate that T$^2$ outperforms state-of-the-art methods in producing high-quality tabular data, highlighting its potential to support downstream models when direct data collection is practically infeasible.