Uncertainty Aware Functional Behavior Prediction and Material Fatigue Assessment for Circular Factory

Returned products in circular factories re-enter production with heterogeneous degradation states, usage histories, and remaining capability. Reuse cannot be decided from the current inspection alone, because future function fulfillment and component integrity may evolve differently under the next service scenario. Existing PHM approaches support degradation prediction, but often target fixed operating conditions or isolated component benchmarks, while material-fatigue assessment is rarely linked to system-level functional prognosis. This paper addresses this gap for an angle grinder by combining uncertainty-aware functional prediction with component-level fatigue assessment in an instance-specific reliability workflow. The proposed framework combines the current tool state with recent force--torque usage windows. A convolutional encoder extracts loading patterns from spindle forces and shaft torque, and an LSTM backbone predicts nine functional variables as Gaussian mean and variance estimates. In parallel, the same loading history is translated into output-shaft fatigue information through finite-element-supported stress reconstruction, S--N/Miner damage evaluation with Haibach extension, and Paris-law crack-growth analysis. A streaming replay algorithm consolidates both branches into functional, material, and system reliability trajectories. Held-out tests show mean \(2\%\)-tolerance accuracy of 0.9652 across nine outputs. Thermal variables are predicted near-perfectly, while drive motor current and load speed remain the most demanding dynamic outputs, with \(R^2\) values of 0.9750 and 0.9924. Torque history is especially important for these variables, and the conventional LSTM outperforms GRU and xLSTM in the short-history setting. Reliability calibration is most informative for drive motor current, where predicted and observed exceedance probabilities ...

Anomaly Detection for Electro-Hydrostatic Actuators using LSTM Autoencoder

Electro-Hydrostatic Actuators (EHAs) are widely used in aerospace and industrial systems, where timely detection of sensor anomalies is essential to ensure safe and reliable operation. However, the large volume and high sampling frequency of EHA sensor data pose challenges for accurate and efficient anomaly detection. Conventional statistical and classical machine-learning methods such as Z-score, Interquartile Range (IQR), Median Absolute Deviation (MAD), Isolation Forest, Gaussian Mixture, and k-means often fail to capture the temporal dependencies inherent in EHA signals, resulting in limited detection accuracy and elevated false-alarm rates. Furthermore, systematic evaluations of data-driven anomaly detection approaches for EHA systems remain scarce, particularly under varying operational conditions. This study presents an offline anomaly-detection framework for univariate EHA sensor signals, focusing on temperature and pressure data collected from a controlled test bench. The method employs a reconstruction-based Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) autoencoder, calibrated and evaluated using validation-set reconstruction-error distributions. Performance is assessed across multiple fault-injection scenarios using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, complemented by sensitivity analyses under varying operating conditions. The LSTM autoencoder achieved an average accuracy of 99.0\%, precision up to 100\%, recall between 90.2\% and 99.6\%, and F1-scores from 93.1\% to 99.8\%, demonstrating high detection sensitivity and a very low false-alarm rate across all evaluated sensors. These results highlight the feasibility of data-driven offline anomaly detection for EHAs. Future work will focus on adapting the developed framework for an online (real-time) environment.

Towards Precision in Bolted Joint Design: A Preliminary Machine Learning-Based Parameter Prediction

Bolted joints are critical in engineering for maintaining structural integrity and reliability. Accurate prediction of parameters influencing their function and behavior is essential for optimal performance. Traditional methods often fail to capture the non-linear behavior of bolted joints or require significant computational resources, limiting accuracy and efficiency. This study addresses these limitations by combining empirical data with a feed-forward neural network to predict load capacity and friction coefficients. Leveraging experimental data and systematic preprocessing, the model effectively captures nonlinear relationships, including rescaling output variables to address scale discrepancies, achieving 95.24% predictive accuracy. While limited dataset size and diversity restrict generalizability, the findings demonstrate the potential of neural networks as a reliable, efficient alternative for bolted joint design. Future work will focus on expanding datasets and exploring hybrid modeling techniques to enhance applicability.