MP-MoE: Matrix Profile-Guided Mixture of Experts for Precipitation Forecasting

Precipitation forecasting remains a persistent challenge in tropical regions like Vietnam, where complex topography and convective instability often limit the accuracy of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models. While data-driven post-processing is widely used to mitigate these biases, most existing frameworks rely on point-wise objective functions, which suffer from the ``double penalty'' effect under minor temporal misalignments. In this work, we propose the Matrix Profile-guided Mixture of Experts (MP-MoE), a framework that integrates conventional intensity loss with a structural-aware Matrix Profile objective. By leveraging subsequence-level similarity rather than point-wise errors, the proposed loss facilitates more reliable expert selection and mitigates excessive penalization caused by phase shifts. We evaluate MP-MoE on rainfall datasets from two major river basins in Vietnam across multiple horizons, including 1-hour intensity and accumulated rainfall over 12, 24, and 48 hours. Experimental results demonstrate that MP-MoE outperforms raw NWP and baseline learning methods in terms of Mean Critical Success Index (CSI-M) for heavy rainfall events, while significantly reducing Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) values. These findings highlight the framework's efficacy in capturing peak rainfall intensities and preserving the morphological integrity of storm events.

CAKE: Real-time Action Detection via Motion Distillation and Background-aware Contrastive Learning

Online Action Detection (OAD) systems face two primary challenges: high computational cost and insufficient modeling of discriminative temporal dynamics against background motion. Adding optical flow could provides strong motion cues but it incurs significant computational overhead. We propose CAKE, a OAD Flow-based distillation framework to transfer motion knowledge into RGB models. We propose Dynamic Motion Adapter (DMA) to suppress static background noise and emphasize pixel changes, effectively approximating optical flow without explicit computation. The framework also integrates a Floating Contrastive Learning strategy to distinguish informative motion dynamics from temporal background. Various experiments conducted on the TVSeries, THUMOS'14, Kinetics-400 datasets show effectiveness of our model. CAKE achieves a standout mAP compared with SOTA while using the same backbone. Our model operates at over 72 FPS on a single CPU, making it highly suitable for resource-constrained systems.

VRAE: Vertical Residual Autoencoder for License Plate Denoising and Deblurring

In real-world traffic surveillance, vehicle images captured under adverse weather, poor lighting, or high-speed motion often suffer from severe noise and blur. Such degradations significantly reduce the accuracy of license plate recognition systems, especially when the plate occupies only a small region within the full vehicle image. Restoring these degraded images a fast realtime manner is thus a crucial pre-processing step to enhance recognition performance. In this work, we propose a Vertical Residual Autoencoder (VRAE) architecture designed for the image enhancement task in traffic surveillance. The method incorporates an enhancement strategy that employs an auxiliary block, which injects input-aware features at each encoding stage to guide the representation learning process, enabling better general information preservation throughout the network compared to conventional autoencoders. Experiments on a vehicle image dataset with visible license plates demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms Autoencoder (AE), Generative Adversarial Network (GAN), and Flow-Based (FB) approaches. Compared with AE at the same depth, it improves PSNR by about 20%, reduces NMSE by around 50%, and enhances SSIM by 1%, while requiring only a marginal increase of roughly 1% in parameters.

Adaptive Rainfall Forecasting from Multiple Geographical Models Using Matrix Profile and Ensemble Learning

Rainfall forecasting in Vietnam is highly challenging due to its diverse climatic conditions and strong geographical variability across river basins, yet accurate and reliable forecasts are vital for flood management, hydropower operation, and disaster preparedness. In this work, we propose a Matrix Profile-based Weighted Ensemble (MPWE), a regime-switching framework that dynamically captures covariant dependencies among multiple geographical model forecasts while incorporating redundancy-aware weighting to balance contributions across models. We evaluate MPWE using rainfall forecasts from eight major basins in Vietnam, spanning five forecast horizons (1 hour and accumulated rainfall over 12, 24, 48, 72, and 84 hours). Experimental results show that MPWE consistently achieves lower mean and standard deviation of prediction errors compared to geographical models and ensemble baselines, demonstrating both improved accuracy and stability across basins and horizons.