Cybersecurity of Industrial Control Systems (ICS) is drawing significant concerns as data communication increasingly leverages wireless networks. A lot of data-driven methods were developed for detecting cyberattacks, but few are focused on distinguishing them from equipment faults. In this paper, we develop a data-driven framework that can be used to detect, diagnose, and localize a type of cyberattack called covert attacks on smart grids. The framework has a hybrid design that combines an autoencoder, a recurrent neural network (RNN) with a Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) layer, and a Deep Neural Network (DNN). This data-driven framework considers the temporal behavior of a generic physical system that extracts features from the time series of the sensor measurements that can be used for detecting covert attacks, distinguishing them from equipment faults, as well as localize the attack/fault. We evaluate the performance of the proposed method through a realistic simulation study on the IEEE 14-bus model as a typical example of ICS. We compare the performance of the proposed method with the traditional model-based method to show its applicability and efficacy.
We develop a mixture procedure for multi-sensor systems to monitor data streams for a change-point that causes a gradual degradation to a subset of the streams. Observations are assumed to be initially normal random variables with known constant means and variances. After the change-point, observations in the subset will have increasing or decreasing means. The subset and the rate-of-changes are unknown. Our procedure uses a mixture statistics, which assumes that each sensor is affected by the change-point with probability $p_0$. Analytic expressions are obtained for the average run length (ARL) and the expected detection delay (EDD) of the mixture procedure, which are demonstrated to be quite accurate numerically. We establish the asymptotic optimality of the mixture procedure. Numerical examples demonstrate the good performance of the proposed procedure. We also discuss an adaptive mixture procedure using empirical Bayes. This paper extends our earlier work on detecting an abrupt change-point that causes a mean-shift, by tackling the challenges posed by the non-stationarity of the slope-change problem.