Causal State-Space Model for Causal Inference: Estimating Longitudinal Individual Treatment Effects

Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time from longitudinal observational data is central to clinical decision support. Existing methods rely on domain confusion -- adversarial training that renders representations invariant to treatment assignment -- yet this invariance creates a mutual information conflict: it suppresses treatment-correlated covariate signals necessary for accurate outcome prediction. We formalise this tension via a Jensen-Shannon divergence bound on counterfactual prediction error and develop two complementary models. CSSD (Causal State-Space model with Direct decoder) adapts selective State Space Models with a parallel multi-step decoder that eliminates accumulated rollout error by producing all prediction horizons simultaneously in a single forward pass. CSSPD (Causal State-Space model with Predictive regularisation and Direct decoder) augments CSSD with Contrastive Predictive Coding and Local Information Maximisation to reinforce temporal predictability in the balancing representation and recover local covariate information destroyed by domain confusion. On MIMIC-III, CSSPD achieves lower counterfactual RMSE than the Causal Transformer at every horizon tau >= 2 at O(T) encoder cost, with gains from 0.02 (2-step) to 0.07 (6-step). On Cancer Simulation across confounding strengths gamma in {0,1,2,3,4}, CSSPD outperforms CT at gamma <= 3 (margins 25.9%--37.0%), and CSSD achieves the lowest overall average RMSE (12.7% reduction over CT), confirming the MI conflict analysis. To our knowledge, this is the first work to formalise the balancing-prediction MI conflict and propose a structured resolution through complementary predictive and information-theoretic training objectives.

A Survey of Pipeline Tools for Data Engineering

Currently, a variety of pipeline tools are available for use in data engineering. Data scientists can use these tools to resolve data wrangling issues associated with data and accomplish some data engineering tasks from data ingestion through data preparation to utilization as input for machine learning (ML). Some of these tools have essential built-in components or can be combined with other tools to perform desired data engineering operations. While some tools are wholly or partly commercial, several open-source tools are available to perform expert-level data engineering tasks. This survey examines the broad categories and examples of pipeline tools based on their design and data engineering intentions. These categories are Extract Transform Load/Extract Load Transform (ETL/ELT), pipelines for Data Integration, Ingestion, and Transformation, Data Pipeline Orchestration and Workflow Management, and Machine Learning Pipelines. The survey also provides a broad outline of the utilization with examples within these broad groups and finally, a discussion is presented with case studies indicating the usage of pipeline tools for data engineering. The studies present some first-user application experiences with sample data, some complexities of the applied pipeline, and a summary note of approaches to using these tools to prepare data for machine learning.

Capsule Network Projectors are Equivariant and Invariant Learners

Learning invariant representations has been the longstanding approach to self-supervised learning. However, recently progress has been made in preserving equivariant properties in representations, yet do so with highly prescribed architectures. In this work, we propose an invariant-equivariant self-supervised architecture that employs Capsule Networks (CapsNets) which have been shown to capture equivariance with respect to novel viewpoints. We demonstrate that the use of CapsNets in equivariant self-supervised architectures achieves improved downstream performance on equivariant tasks with higher efficiency and fewer network parameters. To accommodate the architectural changes of CapsNets, we introduce a new objective function based on entropy minimisation. This approach, which we name CapsIE (Capsule Invariant Equivariant Network), achieves state-of-the-art performance across all invariant and equivariant downstream tasks on the 3DIEBench dataset, while outperforming supervised baselines. Our results demonstrate the ability of CapsNets to learn complex and generalised representations for large-scale, multi-task datasets compared to previous CapsNet benchmarks. Code is available at https://github.com/AberdeenML/CapsIE.

LeOCLR: Leveraging Original Images for Contrastive Learning of Visual Representations

Contrastive instance discrimination outperforms supervised learning in downstream tasks like image classification and object detection. However, this approach heavily relies on data augmentation during representation learning, which may result in inferior results if not properly implemented. Random cropping followed by resizing is a common form of data augmentation used in contrastive learning, but it can lead to degraded representation learning if the two random crops contain distinct semantic content. To address this issue, this paper introduces LeOCLR (Leveraging Original Images for Contrastive Learning of Visual Representations), a framework that employs a new instance discrimination approach and an adapted loss function that ensures the shared region between positive pairs is semantically correct. The experimental results show that our approach consistently improves representation learning across different datasets compared to baseline models. For example, our approach outperforms MoCo-v2 by 5.1% on ImageNet-1K in linear evaluation and several other methods on transfer learning tasks.

Masked Capsule Autoencoders

We propose Masked Capsule Autoencoders (MCAE), the first Capsule Network that utilises pretraining in a self-supervised manner. Capsule Networks have emerged as a powerful alternative to Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), and have shown favourable properties when compared to Vision Transformers (ViT), but have struggled to effectively learn when presented with more complex data, leading to Capsule Network models that do not scale to modern tasks. Our proposed MCAE model alleviates this issue by reformulating the Capsule Network to use masked image modelling as a pretraining stage before finetuning in a supervised manner. Across several experiments and ablations studies we demonstrate that similarly to CNNs and ViTs, Capsule Networks can also benefit from self-supervised pretraining, paving the way for further advancements in this neural network domain. For instance, pretraining on the Imagenette dataset, a dataset of 10 classes of Imagenet-sized images, we achieve not only state-of-the-art results for Capsule Networks but also a 9% improvement compared to purely supervised training. Thus we propose that Capsule Networks benefit from and should be trained within a masked image modelling framework, with a novel capsule decoder, to improve a Capsule Network's performance on realistic-sized images.

ProtoCaps: A Fast and Non-Iterative Capsule Network Routing Method

Capsule Networks have emerged as a powerful class of deep learning architectures, known for robust performance with relatively few parameters compared to Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). However, their inherent efficiency is often overshadowed by their slow, iterative routing mechanisms which establish connections between Capsule layers, posing computational challenges resulting in an inability to scale. In this paper, we introduce a novel, non-iterative routing mechanism, inspired by trainable prototype clustering. This innovative approach aims to mitigate computational complexity, while retaining, if not enhancing, performance efficacy. Furthermore, we harness a shared Capsule subspace, negating the need to project each lower-level Capsule to each higher-level Capsule, thereby significantly reducing memory requisites during training. Our approach demonstrates superior results compared to the current best non-iterative Capsule Network and tests on the Imagewoof dataset, which is too computationally demanding to handle efficiently by iterative approaches. Our findings underscore the potential of our proposed methodology in enhancing the operational efficiency and performance of Capsule Networks, paving the way for their application in increasingly complex computational scenarios.

Semantic Positive Pairs for Enhancing Contrastive Instance Discrimination

Self-supervised learning algorithms based on instance discrimination effectively prevent representation collapse and produce promising results in representation learning. However, the process of attracting positive pairs (i.e., two views of the same instance) in the embedding space and repelling all other instances (i.e., negative pairs) irrespective of their categories could result in discarding important features. To address this issue, we propose an approach to identifying those images with similar semantic content and treating them as positive instances, named semantic positive pairs set (SPPS), thereby reducing the risk of discarding important features during representation learning. Our approach could work with any contrastive instance discrimination framework such as SimCLR or MOCO. We conduct experiments on three datasets: ImageNet, STL-10 and CIFAR-10 to evaluate our approach. The experimental results show that our approach consistently outperforms the baseline method vanilla SimCLR across all three datasets; for example, our approach improves upon vanilla SimCLR under linear evaluation protocol by 4.18% on ImageNet with a batch size 1024 and 800 epochs.

Vanishing Activations: A Symptom of Deep Capsule Networks

Capsule Networks, an extension to Neural Networks utilizing vector or matrix representations instead of scalars, were initially developed to create a dynamic parse tree where visual concepts evolve from parts to complete objects. Early implementations of Capsule Networks achieved and maintain state-of-the-art results on various datasets. However, recent studies have revealed shortcomings in the original Capsule Network architecture, notably its failure to construct a parse tree and its susceptibility to vanishing gradients when deployed in deeper networks. This paper extends the investigation to a range of leading Capsule Network architectures, demonstrating that these issues are not confined to the original design. We argue that the majority of Capsule Network research has produced architectures that, while modestly divergent from the original Capsule Network, still retain a fundamentally similar structure. We posit that this inherent design similarity might be impeding the scalability of Capsule Networks. Our study contributes to the broader discussion on improving the robustness and scalability of Capsule Networks.

Non-intrusive Load Monitoring based on Self-supervised Learning

Deep learning models for non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) tend to require a large amount of labeled data for training. However, it is difficult to generalize the trained models to unseen sites due to different load characteristics and operating patterns of appliances between data sets. For addressing such problems, self-supervised learning (SSL) is proposed in this paper, where labeled appliance-level data from the target data set or house is not required. Initially, only the aggregate power readings from target data set are required to pre-train a general network via a self-supervised pretext task to map aggregate power sequences to derived representatives. Then, supervised downstream tasks are carried out for each appliance category to fine-tune the pre-trained network, where the features learned in the pretext task are transferred. Utilizing labeled source data sets enables the downstream tasks to learn how each load is disaggregated, by mapping the aggregate to labels. Finally, the fine-tuned network is applied to load disaggregation for the target sites. For validation, multiple experimental cases are designed based on three publicly accessible REDD, UK-DALE, and REFIT data sets. Besides, state-of-the-art neural networks are employed to perform NILM task in the experiments. Based on the NILM results in various cases, SSL generally outperforms zero-shot learning in improving load disaggregation performance without any sub-metering data from the target data sets.

Causal Effect Estimation using Variational Information Bottleneck

Causal inference is to estimate the causal effect in a causal relationship when intervention is applied. Precisely, in a causal model with binary interventions, i.e., control and treatment, the causal effect is simply the difference between the factual and counterfactual. The difficulty is that the counterfactual may never been obtained which has to be estimated and so the causal effect could only be an estimate. The key challenge for estimating the counterfactual is to identify confounders which effect both outcomes and treatments. A typical approach is to formulate causal inference as a supervised learning problem and so counterfactual could be predicted. Including linear regression and deep learning models, recent machine learning methods have been adapted to causal inference. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate Causal Effect by using Variational Information Bottleneck (CEVIB). The promising point is that VIB is able to naturally distill confounding variables from the data, which enables estimating causal effect by using observational data. We have compared CEVIB to other methods by applying them to three data sets showing that our approach achieved the best performance. We also experimentally showed the robustness of our method.