The Importance of Future Information in Credit Card Fraud Detection

Fraud detection systems (FDS) mainly perform two tasks: (i) real-time detection while the payment is being processed and (ii) posterior detection to block the card retrospectively and avoid further frauds. Since human verification is often necessary and the payment processing time is limited, the second task manages the largest volume of transactions. In the literature, fraud detection challenges and algorithms performance are widely studied but the very formulation of the problem is never disrupted: it aims at predicting if a transaction is fraudulent based on its characteristics and the past transactions of the cardholder. Yet, in posterior detection, verification often takes days, so new payments on the card become available before a decision is taken. This is our motivation to propose a new paradigm: posterior fraud detection with "future" information. We start by providing evidence of the on-time availability of subsequent transactions, usable as extra context to improve detection. We then design a Bidirectional LSTM to make use of these transactions. On a real-world dataset with over 30 million transactions, it achieves higher performance than a regular LSTM, which is the state-of-the-art classifier for fraud detection that only uses the past context. We also introduce new metrics to show that the proposal catches more frauds, more compromised cards, and based on their earliest frauds. We believe that future works on this new paradigm will have a significant impact on the detection of compromised cards.

deepstruct -- linking deep learning and graph theory

deepstruct connects deep learning models and graph theory such that different graph structures can be imposed on neural networks or graph structures can be extracted from trained neural network models. For this, deepstruct provides deep neural network models with different restrictions which can be created based on an initial graph. Further, tools to extract graph structures from trained models are available. This step of extracting graphs can be computationally expensive even for models of just a few dozen thousand parameters and poses a challenging problem. deepstruct supports research in pruning, neural architecture search, automated network design and structure analysis of neural networks.

Experiments on Properties of Hidden Structures of Sparse Neural Networks

Sparsity in the structure of Neural Networks can lead to less energy consumption, less memory usage, faster computation times on convenient hardware, and automated machine learning. If sparsity gives rise to certain kinds of structure, it can explain automatically obtained features during learning. We provide insights into experiments in which we show how sparsity can be achieved through prior initialization, pruning, and during learning, and answer questions on the relationship between the structure of Neural Networks and their performance. This includes the first work of inducing priors from network theory into Recurrent Neural Networks and an architectural performance prediction during a Neural Architecture Search. Within our experiments, we show how magnitude class blinded pruning achieves 97.5% on MNIST with 80% compression and re-training, which is 0.5 points more than without compression, that magnitude class uniform pruning is significantly inferior to it and how a genetic search enhanced with performance prediction achieves 82.4% on CIFAR10. Further, performance prediction for Recurrent Networks learning the Reber grammar shows an $R^2$ of up to 0.81 given only structural information.

Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks for Speed Control in Trajectory Simulation

Motion behaviour is driven by several factors -- goals, presence and actions of neighbouring agents, social relations, physical and social norms, the environment with its variable characteristics, and further. Most factors are not directly observable and must be modelled from context. Trajectory prediction, is thus a hard problem, and has seen increasing attention from researchers in the recent years. Prediction of motion, in application, must be realistic, diverse and controllable. In spite of increasing focus on multimodal trajectory generation, most methods still lack means for explicitly controlling different modes of the data generation. Further, most endeavours invest heavily in designing special mechanisms to learn the interactions in latent space. We present Conditional Speed GAN (CSG), that allows controlled generation of diverse and socially acceptable trajectories, based on user controlled speed. During prediction, CSG forecasts future speed from latent space and conditions its generation based on it. CSG is comparable to state-of-the-art GAN methods in terms of the benchmark distance metrics, while being simple and useful for simulation and data augmentation for different contexts such as fast or slow paced environments. Additionally, we compare the effect of different aggregation mechanisms and show that a naive approach of concatenation works comparable to its attention and pooling alternatives.

Lessons Learned from the 1st ARIEL Machine Learning Challenge: Correcting Transiting Exoplanet Light Curves for Stellar Spots

The last decade has witnessed a rapid growth of the field of exoplanet discovery and characterisation. However, several big challenges remain, many of which could be addressed using machine learning methodology. For instance, the most prolific method for detecting exoplanets and inferring several of their characteristics, transit photometry, is very sensitive to the presence of stellar spots. The current practice in the literature is to identify the effects of spots visually and correct for them manually or discard the affected data. This paper explores a first step towards fully automating the efficient and precise derivation of transit depths from transit light curves in the presence of stellar spots. The methods and results we present were obtained in the context of the 1st Machine Learning Challenge organized for the European Space Agency's upcoming Ariel mission. We first present the problem, the simulated Ariel-like data and outline the Challenge while identifying best practices for organizing similar challenges in the future. Finally, we present the solutions obtained by the top-5 winning teams, provide their code and discuss their implications. Successful solutions either construct highly non-linear (w.r.t. the raw data) models with minimal preprocessing -deep neural networks and ensemble methods- or amount to obtaining meaningful statistics from the light curves, constructing linear models on which yields comparably good predictive performance.

HateBERT: Retraining BERT for Abusive Language Detection in English

In this paper, we introduce HateBERT, a re-trained BERT model for abusive language detection in English. The model was trained on RAL-E, a large-scale dataset of Reddit comments in English from communities banned for being offensive, abusive, or hateful that we have collected and made available to the public. We present the results of a detailed comparison between a general pre-trained language model and the abuse-inclined version obtained by retraining with posts from the banned communities on three English datasets for offensive, abusive language and hate speech detection tasks. In all datasets, HateBERT outperforms the corresponding general BERT model. We also discuss a battery of experiments comparing the portability of the general pre-trained language model and its corresponding abusive language-inclined counterpart across the datasets, indicating that portability is affected by compatibility of the annotated phenomena.

ADSAGE: Anomaly Detection in Sequences of Attributed Graph Edges applied to insider threat detection at fine-grained level

Previous works on the CERT insider threat detection case have neglected graph and text features despite their relevance to describe user behavior. Additionally, existing systems heavily rely on feature engineering and audit data aggregation to detect malicious activities. This is time consuming, requires expert knowledge and prevents tracing back alerts to precise user actions. To address these issues we introduce ADSAGE to detect anomalies in audit log events modeled as graph edges. Our general method is the first to perform anomaly detection at edge level while supporting both edge sequences and attributes, which can be numeric, categorical or even text. We describe how ADSAGE can be used for fine-grained, event level insider threat detection in different audit logs from the CERT use case. Remarking that there is no standard benchmark for the CERT problem, we use a previously proposed evaluation setting based on realistic recall-based metrics. We evaluate ADSAGE on authentication, email traffic and web browsing logs from the CERT insider threat datasets, as well as on real-world authentication events. ADSAGE is effective to detect anomalies in authentications, modeled as user to computer interactions, and in email communications. Simple baselines give surprisingly strong results as well. We also report performance split by malicious scenarios present in the CERT datasets: interestingly, several detectors are complementary and could be combined to improve detection. Overall, our results show that graph features are informative to characterize malicious insider activities, and that detection at fine-grained level is possible.

Deep Graph Generators

Learning distributions of graphs can be used for automatic drug discovery, molecular design, complex network analysis and much more. We present an improved framework for learning generative models of graphs based on the idea of deep state machines. To learn state transition decisions we use a set of graph and node embedding techniques as memory of the state machine. Our analysis is based on learning the distribution of random graph generators for which we provide statistical tests to determine which properties can be learned and how well the original distribution of graphs is represented. We show that the design of the state machine favors specific distributions. Models of graphs of size up to 150 vertices are learned. Code and parameters are publicly available to reproduce our results.

Investigating Extensions to Random Walk Based Graph Embedding

Graph embedding has recently gained momentum in the research community, in particular after the introduction of random walk and neural network based approaches. However, most of the embedding approaches focus on representing the local neighborhood of nodes and fail to capture the global graph structure, i.e. to retain the relations to distant nodes. To counter that problem, we propose a novel extension to random walk based graph embedding, which removes a percentage of least frequent nodes from the walks at different levels. By this removal, we simulate farther distant nodes to reside in the close neighborhood of a node and hence explicitly represent their connection. Besides the common evaluation tasks for graph embeddings, such as node classification and link prediction, we evaluate and compare our approach against related methods on shortest path approximation. The results indicate, that extensions to random walk based methods (including our own) improve the predictive performance only slightly - if at all.