On The Impact of Replacing Private Cars with Autonomous Shuttles: An Agent-Based Approach

The European Green Deal aims to achieve climate neutrality by 2050, requiring the transportation industry to improve emission efficiency as it accounts for 20% of global CO2 emissions. This study uses an agent-based simulation to analyze the sustainability impacts of shared autonomous shuttles. We forecast travel demands for 2050 and simulate regulatory interventions in the form of replacing private cars with a fleet of shared autonomous shuttles in specific areas. We derive driving-related emissions, energy consumption, and non-driving-related emissions to calculate life-cycle emissions. We observe reduced life-cycle emissions from 0.4% to 9.6% and reduced energy consumption from 1.5% to 12.2%.