A Score Filter Enhanced Data Assimilation Framework for Data-Driven Dynamical Systems

We introduce a score-filter-enhanced data assimilation framework designed to reduce predictive uncertainty in machine learning (ML) models for data-driven dynamical system forecasting. Machine learning serves as an efficient numerical model for predicting dynamical systems. However, even with sufficient data, model uncertainty remains and accumulates over time, causing the long-term performance of ML models to deteriorate. To overcome this difficulty, we integrate data assimilation techniques into the training process to iteratively refine the model predictions by incorporating observational information. Specifically, we apply the Ensemble Score Filter (EnSF), a generative AI-based training-free diffusion model approach, for solving the data assimilation problem in high-dimensional nonlinear complex systems. This leads to a hybrid data assimilation-training framework that combines ML with EnSF to improve long-term predictive performance. We shall demonstrate that EnSF-enhanced ML can effectively reduce predictive uncertainty in ML-based Lorenz-96 system prediction and the Korteweg-De Vries (KdV) equation prediction.

Federated Learning on Stochastic Neural Networks

Federated learning is a machine learning paradigm that leverages edge computing on client devices to optimize models while maintaining user privacy by ensuring that local data remains on the device. However, since all data is collected by clients, federated learning is susceptible to latent noise in local datasets. Factors such as limited measurement capabilities or human errors may introduce inaccuracies in client data. To address this challenge, we propose the use of a stochastic neural network as the local model within the federated learning framework. Stochastic neural networks not only facilitate the estimation of the true underlying states of the data but also enable the quantification of latent noise. We refer to our federated learning approach, which incorporates stochastic neural networks as local models, as Federated stochastic neural networks. We will present numerical experiments demonstrating the performance and effectiveness of our method, particularly in handling non-independent and identically distributed data.