Efficient Statistics for Sparse Graphical Models from Truncated Samples

In this paper, we study high-dimensional estimation from truncated samples. We focus on two fundamental and classical problems: (i) inference of sparse Gaussian graphical models and (ii) support recovery of sparse linear models. (i) For Gaussian graphical models, suppose $d$-dimensional samples ${\bf x}$ are generated from a Gaussian $N(\mu,\Sigma)$ and observed only if they belong to a subset $S \subseteq \mathbb{R}^d$. We show that ${\mu}$ and ${\Sigma}$ can be estimated with error $\epsilon$ in the Frobenius norm, using $\tilde{O}\left(\frac{\textrm{nz}({\Sigma}^{-1})}{\epsilon^2}\right)$ samples from a truncated $\mathcal{N}({\mu},{\Sigma})$ and having access to a membership oracle for $S$. The set $S$ is assumed to have non-trivial measure under the unknown distribution but is otherwise arbitrary. (ii) For sparse linear regression, suppose samples $({\bf x},y)$ are generated where $y = {\bf x}^\top{{\Omega}^*} + \mathcal{N}(0,1)$ and $({\bf x}, y)$ is seen only if $y$ belongs to a truncation set $S \subseteq \mathbb{R}$. We consider the case that ${\Omega}^*$ is sparse with a support set of size $k$. Our main result is to establish precise conditions on the problem dimension $d$, the support size $k$, the number of observations $n$, and properties of the samples and the truncation that are sufficient to recover the support of ${\Omega}^*$. Specifically, we show that under some mild assumptions, only $O(k^2 \log d)$ samples are needed to estimate ${\Omega}^*$ in the $\ell_\infty$-norm up to a bounded error. For both problems, our estimator minimizes the sum of the finite population negative log-likelihood function and an $\ell_1$-regularization term.

Convergence to Second-Order Stationarity for Non-negative Matrix Factorization: Provably and Concurrently

Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) is a fundamental non-convex optimization problem with numerous applications in Machine Learning (music analysis, document clustering, speech-source separation etc). Despite having received extensive study, it is poorly understood whether or not there exist natural algorithms that can provably converge to a local minimum. Part of the reason is because the objective is heavily symmetric and its gradient is not Lipschitz. In this paper we define a multiplicative weight update type dynamics (modification of the seminal Lee-Seung algorithm) that runs concurrently and provably avoids saddle points (first order stationary points that are not second order). Our techniques combine tools from dynamical systems such as stability and exploit the geometry of the NMF objective by reducing the standard NMF formulation over the non-negative orthant to a new formulation over (a scaled) simplex. An important advantage of our method is the use of concurrent updates, which permits implementations in parallel computing environments.

Logistic-Regression with peer-group effects via inference in higher order Ising models

Spin glass models, such as the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick, Hopfield and Ising models, are all well-studied members of the exponential family of discrete distributions, and have been influential in a number of application domains where they are used to model correlation phenomena on networks. Conventionally these models have quadratic sufficient statistics and consequently capture correlations arising from pairwise interactions. In this work we study extensions of these to models with higher-order sufficient statistics, modeling behavior on a social network with peer-group effects. In particular, we model binary outcomes on a network as a higher-order spin glass, where the behavior of an individual depends on a linear function of their own vector of covariates and some polynomial function of the behavior of others, capturing peer-group effects. Using a {\em single}, high-dimensional sample from such model our goal is to recover the coefficients of the linear function as well as the strength of the peer-group effects. The heart of our result is a novel approach for showing strong concavity of the log pseudo-likelihood of the model, implying statistical error rate of $\sqrt{d/n}$ for the Maximum Pseudo-Likelihood Estimator (MPLE), where $d$ is the dimensionality of the covariate vectors and $n$ is the size of the network (number of nodes). Our model generalizes vanilla logistic regression as well as the peer-effect models studied in recent works, and our results extend these results to accommodate higher-order interactions.

Better Depth-Width Trade-offs for Neural Networks through the lens of Dynamical Systems

The expressivity of neural networks as a function of their depth, width and type of activation units has been an important question in deep learning theory. Recently, depth separation results for ReLU networks were obtained via a new connection with dynamical systems, using a generalized notion of fixed points of a continuous map $f$, called periodic points. In this work, we strengthen the connection with dynamical systems and we improve the existing width lower bounds along several aspects. Our first main result is period-specific width lower bounds that hold under the stronger notion of $L^1$-approximation error, instead of the weaker classification error. Our second contribution is that we provide sharper width lower bounds, still yielding meaningful exponential depth-width separations, in regimes where previous results wouldn't apply. A byproduct of our results is that there exists a universal constant characterizing the depth-width trade-offs, as long as $f$ has odd periods. Technically, our results follow by unveiling a tighter connection between the following three quantities of a given function: its period, its Lipschitz constant and the growth rate of the number of oscillations arising under compositions of the function $f$ with itself.

Last iterate convergence in no-regret learning: constrained min-max optimization for convex-concave landscapes

In a recent series of papers it has been established that variants of Gradient Descent/Ascent and Mirror Descent exhibit last iterate convergence in convex-concave zero-sum games. Specifically, \cite{DISZ17, LiangS18} show last iterate convergence of the so called "Optimistic Gradient Descent/Ascent" for the case of \textit{unconstrained} min-max optimization. Moreover, in \cite{Metal} the authors show that Mirror Descent with an extra gradient step displays last iterate convergence for convex-concave problems (both constrained and unconstrained), though their algorithm does not follow the online learning framework; it uses extra information rather than \textit{only} the history to compute the next iteration. In this work, we show that "Optimistic Multiplicative-Weights Update (OMWU)" which follows the no-regret online learning framework, exhibits last iterate convergence locally for convex-concave games, generalizing the results of \cite{DP19} where last iterate convergence of OMWU was shown only for the \textit{bilinear case}. We complement our results with experiments that indicate fast convergence of the method.

Depth-Width Trade-offs for ReLU Networks via Sharkovsky's Theorem

Understanding the representational power of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) and how their structural properties (e.g., depth, width, type of activation unit) affect the functions they can compute, has been an important yet challenging question in deep learning and approximation theory. In a seminal paper, Telgarsky highlighted the benefits of depth by presenting a family of functions (based on simple triangular waves) for which DNNs achieve zero classification error, whereas shallow networks with fewer than exponentially many nodes incur constant error. Even though Telgarsky's work reveals the limitations of shallow neural networks, it does not inform us on why these functions are difficult to represent and in fact he states it as a tantalizing open question to characterize those functions that cannot be well-approximated by smaller depths. In this work, we point to a new connection between DNNs expressivity and Sharkovsky's Theorem from dynamical systems, that enables us to characterize the depth-width trade-offs of ReLU networks for representing functions based on the presence of generalized notion of fixed points, called periodic points (a fixed point is a point of period 1). Motivated by our observation that the triangle waves used in Telgarsky's work contain points of period 3 - a period that is special in that it implies chaotic behavior based on the celebrated result by Li-Yorke - we proceed to give general lower bounds for the width needed to represent periodic functions as a function of the depth. Technically, the crux of our approach is based on an eigenvalue analysis of the dynamical system associated with such functions.

Regression from Dependent Observations

The standard linear and logistic regression models assume that the response variables are independent, but share the same linear relationship to their corresponding vectors of covariates. The assumption that the response variables are independent is, however, too strong. In many applications, these responses are collected on nodes of a network, or some spatial or temporal domain, and are dependent. Examples abound in financial and meteorological applications, and dependencies naturally arise in social networks through peer effects. Regression with dependent responses has thus received a lot of attention in the Statistics and Economics literature, but there are no strong consistency results unless multiple independent samples of the vectors of dependent responses can be collected from these models. We present computationally and statistically efficient methods for linear and logistic regression models when the response variables are dependent on a network. Given one sample from a networked linear or logistic regression model and under mild assumptions, we prove strong consistency results for recovering the vector of coefficients and the strength of the dependencies, recovering the rates of standard regression under independent observations. We use projected gradient descent on the negative log-likelihood, or negative log-pseudolikelihood, and establish their strong convexity and consistency using concentration of measure for dependent random variables.

On the Convergence of EM for truncated mixtures of two Gaussians

Motivated by a recent result of Daskalakis et al. \cite{DGTZ18}, we analyze the population version of Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for the case of \textit{truncated} mixtures of two Gaussians. Truncated samples from a $d$-dimensional mixture of two Gaussians $\frac{1}{2} \mathcal{N}(\vec{\mu}, \vec{\Sigma})+ \frac{1}{2} \mathcal{N}(-\vec{\mu}, \vec{\Sigma})$ means that a sample is only revealed if it falls in some subset $S \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ of positive (Lebesgue) measure. We show that for $d=1$, EM converges almost surely (under random initialization) to the true mean (variance $\sigma^2$ is known) for any measurable set $S$. Moreover, for $d>1$ we show EM almost surely converges to the true mean $\vec{\mu}$ for any measurable set $S$, under the assumption that the map of EM has only three fixed points, namely $-\vec{\mu}, \vec{0}, \vec{\mu}$ (covariance matrix $\vec{\Sigma}$ is known). Our techniques deviate from those of Daskalakis et al. \cite{DTZ17}, which heavily depend on symmetry that the untruncated problem exhibits. The fact that the truncated set $S$ may not be symmetric around $\vec{0}$ makes it impossible to compute a closed form of the update rule of EM. We circumvent this fact by using techniques from dynamical systems, in particular implicit function theorem and stability analysis around the fixed points of the update rule of EM.