An Automated Radiomics Framework for Postoperative Survival Prediction in Colorectal Liver Metastases using Preoperative MRI

While colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) is potentially curable via hepatectomy, patient outcomes remain highly heterogeneous. Postoperative survival prediction is necessary to avoid non-beneficial surgeries and guide personalized therapy. In this study, we present an automated AI-based framework for postoperative CRLM survival prediction using pre- and post-contrast MRI. We performed a retrospective study of 227 CRLM patients who had gadoxetate-enhanced MRI prior to curative-intent hepatectomy between 2013 and 2020. We developed a survival prediction framework comprising an anatomy-aware segmentation pipeline followed by a radiomics pipeline. The segmentation pipeline learns liver, CRLMs, and spleen segmentation from partially-annotated data, leveraging promptable foundation models to generate pseudo-labels. To support this pipeline, we propose SAMONAI, a prompt propagation algorithm that extends Segment Anything Model to 3D point-based segmentation. Predicted pre- and post-contrast segmentations are then fed into our radiomics pipeline, which extracts per-tumor features and predicts survival using SurvAMINN, an autoencoder-based multiple instance neural network for time-to-event survival prediction. SurvAMINN jointly learns dimensionality reduction and survival prediction from right-censored data, emphasizing high-risk metastases. We compared our framework against established methods and biomarkers using univariate and multivariate Cox regression. Our segmentation pipeline achieves median Dice scores of 0.96 (liver) and 0.93 (spleen), driving a CRLM segmentation Dice score of 0.78 and a detection F1-score of 0.79. Accurate segmentation enables our radiomics pipeline to achieve a survival prediction C-index of 0.69. Our results show the potential of integrating segmentation algorithms with radiomics-based survival analysis to deliver accurate and automated CRLM outcome prediction.

Live(r) Die: Predicting Survival in Colorectal Liver Metastasis

Colorectal cancer frequently metastasizes to the liver, significantly reducing long-term survival. While surgical resection is the only potentially curative treatment for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM), patient outcomes vary widely depending on tumor characteristics along with clinical and genomic factors. Current prognostic models, often based on limited clinical or molecular features, lack sufficient predictive power, especially in multifocal CRLM cases. We present a fully automated framework for surgical outcome prediction from pre- and post-contrast MRI acquired before surgery. Our framework consists of a segmentation pipeline and a radiomics pipeline. The segmentation pipeline learns to segment the liver, tumors, and spleen from partially annotated data by leveraging promptable foundation models to complete missing labels. Also, we propose SAMONAI, a novel zero-shot 3D prompt propagation algorithm that leverages the Segment Anything Model to segment 3D regions of interest from a single point prompt, significantly improving our segmentation pipeline's accuracy and efficiency. The predicted pre- and post-contrast segmentations are then fed into our radiomics pipeline, which extracts features from each tumor and predicts survival using SurvAMINN, a novel autoencoder-based multiple instance neural network for survival analysis. SurvAMINN jointly learns dimensionality reduction and hazard prediction from right-censored survival data, focusing on the most aggressive tumors. Extensive evaluation on an institutional dataset comprising 227 patients demonstrates that our framework surpasses existing clinical and genomic biomarkers, delivering a C-index improvement exceeding 10%. Our results demonstrate the potential of integrating automated segmentation algorithms and radiomics-based survival analysis to deliver accurate, annotation-efficient, and interpretable outcome prediction in CRLM.