The Importance of Balanced Data Sets: Analyzing a Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Model based on Neural Networks and Distributed Representations

Predicting future behavior of other traffic participants is an essential task that needs to be solved by automated vehicles and human drivers alike to achieve safe and situationaware driving. Modern approaches to vehicles trajectory prediction typically rely on data-driven models like neural networks, in particular LSTMs (Long Short-Term Memorys), achieving promising results. However, the question of optimal composition of the underlying training data has received less attention. In this paper, we expand on previous work on vehicle trajectory prediction based on neural network models employing distributed representations to encode automotive scenes in a semantic vector substrate. We analyze the influence of variations in the training data on the performance of our prediction models. Thereby, we show that the models employing our semantic vector representation outperform the numerical model when trained on an adequate data set and thereby, that the composition of training data in vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for successful training. We conduct our analysis on challenging real-world driving data.

Analyzing the Capacity of Distributed Vector Representations to Encode Spatial Information

Vector Symbolic Architectures belong to a family of related cognitive modeling approaches that encode symbols and structures in high-dimensional vectors. Similar to human subjects, whose capacity to process and store information or concepts in short-term memory is subject to numerical restrictions,the capacity of information that can be encoded in such vector representations is limited and one way of modeling the numerical restrictions to cognition. In this paper, we analyze these limits regarding information capacity of distributed representations. We focus our analysis on simple superposition and more complex, structured representations involving convolutive powers to encode spatial information. In two experiments, we find upper bounds for the number of concepts that can effectively be stored in a single vector.