An AI-driven framework for the prediction of personalised health response to air pollution

Air pollution poses a significant threat to public health, causing or exacerbating many respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. In addition, climate change is bringing about more extreme weather events such as wildfires and heatwaves, which can increase levels of pollution and worsen the effects of pollution exposure. Recent advances in personal sensing have transformed the collection of behavioural and physiological data, leading to the potential for new improvements in healthcare. We wish to capitalise on this data, alongside new capabilities in AI for making time series predictions, in order to monitor and predict health outcomes for an individual. Thus, we present a novel workflow for predicting personalised health responses to pollution by integrating physiological data from wearable fitness devices with real-time environmental exposures. The data is collected from various sources in a secure and ethical manner, and is used to train an AI model to predict individual health responses to pollution exposure within a cloud-based, modular framework. We demonstrate that the AI model -- an Adversarial Autoencoder neural network in this case -- accurately reconstructs time-dependent health signals and captures nonlinear responses to pollution. Transfer learning is applied using data from a personal smartwatch, which increases the generalisation abilities of the AI model and illustrates the adaptability of the approach to real-world, user-generated data.

Advancing operational PM2.5 forecasting with dual deep neural networks (D-DNet)

PM2.5 forecasting is crucial for public health, air quality management, and policy development. Traditional physics-based models are computationally demanding and slow to adapt to real-time conditions. Deep learning models show potential in efficiency but still suffer from accuracy loss over time due to error accumulation. To address these challenges, we propose a dual deep neural network (D-DNet) prediction and data assimilation system that efficiently integrates real-time observations, ensuring reliable operational forecasting. D-DNet excels in global operational forecasting for PM2.5 and AOD550, maintaining consistent accuracy throughout the entire year of 2019. It demonstrates notably higher efficiency than the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) 4D-Var operational forecasting system while maintaining comparable accuracy. This efficiency benefits ensemble forecasting, uncertainty analysis, and large-scale tasks.