Explainable AI for Data-Driven Design of High-Dimensional Predictive Studies

Predictive modelling is important for health data analysis and data-driven clinical decision-making. However, predictive studies are challenging to design optimally by hand when tens or even hundreds of features require selection, transformation, or interaction modelling. While complex machine learning models offer high performance, their "black-box" nature limits the clinical trust, transparency, and interpretability required for decision-making. We developed and evaluated an Exploratory AI Recommender that provides data-driven recommendations to improve predictive performance of existing interpretable statistical models. The developed framework uses flexible AI modelling to capture complex data patterns and explainable AI techniques to translate the patterns into three recommendation types: feature exclusion, non-linear terms, and feature interactions. We evaluated the framework by comparing predictive performance of a baseline (i.e., no interactions or non-linear terms) Cox Proportional Hazards (CPH) model against an augmented CPH incorporating recommendations suggested by our method. The primary analysis predicts the time to the first occurrence of a fall or related injury in 245,614 patients. Our method recommended excluding 23 features, including non-linear terms for two features, and including 221 suggested feature interactions. The C-index improved from 0.805 (95% CI 0.798-0.812) to 0.815 (95% CI 0.809-0.822), and so did calibration (intercept: -0.006 to 0.003; slope: 1.063 to 0.950). All recommendations were supported by existing literature. The method also proved effective on two additional public datasets, demonstrating wider applicability. The proposed Exploratory AI Recommender demonstrates the potential of explainable AI and data-driven study design to improve the process of developing, and the performance of high-dimensional transparent predictive models.

Augmenting Clinical Decision-Making with an Interactive and Interpretable AI Copilot: A Real-World User Study with Clinicians in Nephrology and Obstetrics

Clinician skepticism toward opaque AI hinders adoption in high-stakes healthcare. We present AICare, an interactive and interpretable AI copilot for collaborative clinical decision-making. By analyzing longitudinal electronic health records, AICare grounds dynamic risk predictions in scrutable visualizations and LLM-driven diagnostic recommendations. Through a within-subjects counterbalanced study with 16 clinicians across nephrology and obstetrics, we comprehensively evaluated AICare using objective measures (task completion time and error rate), subjective assessments (NASA-TLX, SUS, and confidence ratings), and semi-structured interviews. Our findings indicate AICare's reduced cognitive workload. Beyond performance metrics, qualitative analysis reveals that trust is actively constructed through verification, with interaction strategies diverging by expertise: junior clinicians used the system as cognitive scaffolding to structure their analysis, while experts engaged in adversarial verification to challenge the AI's logic. This work offers design implications for creating AI systems that function as transparent partners, accommodating diverse reasoning styles to augment rather than replace clinical judgment.