Predicting and Analyzing Pedestrian Crossing Behavior at Unsignalized Crossings

Understanding and predicting pedestrian crossing behavior is essential for enhancing automated driving and improving driving safety. Predicting gap selection behavior and the use of zebra crossing enables driving systems to proactively respond and prevent potential conflicts. This task is particularly challenging at unsignalized crossings due to the ambiguous right of way, requiring pedestrians to constantly interact with vehicles and other pedestrians. This study addresses these challenges by utilizing simulator data to investigate scenarios involving multiple vehicles and pedestrians. We propose and evaluate machine learning models to predict gap selection in non-zebra scenarios and zebra crossing usage in zebra scenarios. We investigate and discuss how pedestrians' behaviors are influenced by various factors, including pedestrian waiting time, walking speed, the number of unused gaps, the largest missed gap, and the influence of other pedestrians. This research contributes to the evolution of intelligent vehicles by providing predictive models and valuable insights into pedestrian crossing behavior.

Engineering Safety Requirements for Autonomous Driving with Large Language Models

Changes and updates in the requirement artifacts, which can be frequent in the automotive domain, are a challenge for SafetyOps. Large Language Models (LLMs), with their impressive natural language understanding and generating capabilities, can play a key role in automatically refining and decomposing requirements after each update. In this study, we propose a prototype of a pipeline of prompts and LLMs that receives an item definition and outputs solutions in the form of safety requirements. This pipeline also performs a review of the requirement dataset and identifies redundant or contradictory requirements. We first identified the necessary characteristics for performing HARA and then defined tests to assess an LLM's capability in meeting these criteria. We used design science with multiple iterations and let experts from different companies evaluate each cycle quantitatively and qualitatively. Finally, the prototype was implemented at a case company and the responsible team evaluated its efficiency.

Welcome Your New AI Teammate: On Safety Analysis by Leashing Large Language Models

DevOps is a necessity in many industries, including the development of Autonomous Vehicles. In those settings, there are iterative activities that reduce the speed of SafetyOps cycles. One of these activities is "Hazard Analysis & Risk Assessment" (HARA), which is an essential step to start the safety requirements specification. As a potential approach to increase the speed of this step in SafetyOps, we have delved into the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs). Our objective is to systematically assess their potential for application in the field of safety engineering. To that end, we propose a framework to support a higher degree of automation of HARA with LLMs. Despite our endeavors to automate as much of the process as possible, expert review remains crucial to ensure the validity and correctness of the analysis results, with necessary modifications made accordingly.

On STPA for Distributed Development of Safe Autonomous Driving: An Interview Study

Safety analysis is used to identify hazards and build knowledge during the design phase of safety-relevant functions. This is especially true for complex AI-enabled and software intensive systems such as Autonomous Drive (AD). System-Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA) is a novel method applied in safety-related fields like defense and aerospace, which is also becoming popular in the automotive industry. However, STPA assumes prerequisites that are not fully valid in the automotive system engineering with distributed system development and multi-abstraction design levels. This would inhibit software developers from using STPA to analyze their software as part of a bigger system, resulting in a lack of traceability. This can be seen as a maintainability challenge in continuous development and deployment (DevOps). In this paper, STPA's different guidelines for the automotive industry, e.g. J31887/ISO21448/STPA handbook, are firstly compared to assess their applicability to the distributed development of complex AI-enabled systems like AD. Further, an approach to overcome the challenges of using STPA in a multi-level design context is proposed. By conducting an interview study with automotive industry experts for the development of AD, the challenges are validated and the effectiveness of the proposed approach is evaluated.

Evaluation of Out-of-Distribution Detection Performance on Autonomous Driving Datasets

Safety measures need to be systemically investigated to what extent they evaluate the intended performance of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) for critical applications. Due to a lack of verification methods for high-dimensional DNNs, a trade-off is needed between accepted performance and handling of out-of-distribution (OOD) samples. This work evaluates rejecting outputs from semantic segmentation DNNs by applying a Mahalanobis distance (MD) based on the most probable class-conditional Gaussian distribution for the predicted class as an OOD score. The evaluation follows three DNNs trained on the Cityscapes dataset and tested on four automotive datasets and finds that classification risk can drastically be reduced at the cost of pixel coverage, even when applied on unseen datasets. The applicability of our findings will support legitimizing safety measures and motivate their usage when arguing for safe usage of DNNs in automotive perception.

Prompt Smells: An Omen for Undesirable Generative AI Outputs

Recent Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) trends focus on various applications, including creating stories, illustrations, poems, articles, computer code, music compositions, and videos. Extrinsic hallucinations are a critical limitation of such GenAI, which can lead to significant challenges in achieving and maintaining the trustworthiness of GenAI. In this paper, we propose two new concepts that we believe will aid the research community in addressing limitations associated with the application of GenAI models. First, we propose a definition for the "desirability" of GenAI outputs and three factors which are observed to influence it. Second, drawing inspiration from Martin Fowler's code smells, we propose the concept of "prompt smells" and the adverse effects they are observed to have on the desirability of GenAI outputs. We expect our work will contribute to the ongoing conversation about the desirability of GenAI outputs and help advance the field in a meaningful way.

RE-centric Recommendations for the Development of Trustworthy(er) Autonomous Systems

Complying with the EU AI Act (AIA) guidelines while developing and implementing AI systems will soon be mandatory within the EU. However, practitioners lack actionable instructions to operationalise ethics during AI systems development. A literature review of different ethical guidelines revealed inconsistencies in the principles addressed and the terminology used to describe them. Furthermore, requirements engineering (RE), which is identified to foster trustworthiness in the AI development process from the early stages was observed to be absent in a lot of frameworks that support the development of ethical and trustworthy AI. This incongruous phrasing combined with a lack of concrete development practices makes trustworthy AI development harder. To address this concern, we formulated a comparison table for the terminology used and the coverage of the ethical AI principles in major ethical AI guidelines. We then examined the applicability of ethical AI development frameworks for performing effective RE during the development of trustworthy AI systems. A tertiary review and meta-analysis of literature discussing ethical AI frameworks revealed their limitations when developing trustworthy AI. Based on our findings, we propose recommendations to address such limitations during the development of trustworthy AI.

ZEBRA: Z-order Curve-based Event Retrieval Approach to Efficiently Explore Automotive Data

Evaluating the performance of software for automated vehicles is predominantly driven by data collected from the real world. While professional test drivers are supported with technical means to semi-automatically annotate driving maneuvers to allow better event identification, simple data loggers in large vehicle fleets typically lack automatic and detailed event classification and hence, extra effort is needed when post-processing such data. Yet, the data quality from professional test drivers is apparently higher than the one from large fleets where labels are missing, but the non-annotated data set from large vehicle fleets is much more representative for typical, realistic driving scenarios to be handled by automated vehicles. However, while growing the data from large fleets is relatively simple, adding valuable annotations during post-processing has become increasingly expensive. In this paper, we leverage Z-order space-filling curves to systematically reduce data dimensionality while preserving domain-specific data properties, which allows us to explore even large-scale field data sets to spot interesting events orders of magnitude faster than processing time-series data directly. Furthermore, the proposed concept is based on an analytical approach, which preserves explainability for the identified events.

Cross or Wait? Predicting Pedestrian Interaction Outcomes at Unsignalized Crossings

Predicting pedestrian behavior when interacting with vehicles is one of the most critical challenges in the field of automated driving. Pedestrian crossing behavior is influenced by various interaction factors, including time to arrival, pedestrian waiting time, the presence of zebra crossing, and the properties and personality traits of both pedestrians and drivers. However, these factors have not been fully explored for use in predicting interaction outcomes. In this paper, we use machine learning to predict pedestrian crossing behavior including pedestrian crossing decision, crossing initiation time (CIT), and crossing duration (CD) when interacting with vehicles at unsignalized crossings. Distributed simulator data are utilized for predicting and analyzing the interaction factors. Compared with the logistic regression baseline model, our proposed neural network model improves the prediction accuracy and F1 score by 4.46% and 3.23%, respectively. Our model also reduces the root mean squared error (RMSE) for CIT and CD by 21.56% and 30.14% compared with the linear regression model. Additionally, we have analyzed the importance of interaction factors, and present the results of models using fewer factors. This provides information for model selection in different scenarios with limited input features.

Understanding the Impact of Edge Cases from Occluded Pedestrians for ML Systems

Machine learning (ML)-enabled approaches are considered a substantial support technique of detection and classification of obstacles of traffic participants in self-driving vehicles. Major breakthroughs have been demonstrated the past few years, even covering complete end-to-end data processing chain from sensory inputs through perception and planning to vehicle control of acceleration, breaking and steering. YOLO (you-only-look-once) is a state-of-the-art perception neural network (NN) architecture providing object detection and classification through bounding box estimations on camera images. As the NN is trained on well annotated images, in this paper we study the variations of confidence levels from the NN when tested on hand-crafted occlusion added to a test set. We compare regular pedestrian detection to upper and lower body detection. Our findings show that the two NN using only partial information perform similarly well like the NN for the full body when the full body NN's performance is 0.75 or better. Furthermore and as expected, the network, which is only trained on the lower half body is least prone to disturbances from occlusions of the upper half and vice versa.