Pre-insertion resistors temperature prediction based on improved WOA-SVR

The pre-insertion resistors (PIR) within high-voltage circuit breakers are critical components and warm up by generating Joule heat when an electric current flows through them. Elevated temperature can lead to temporary closure failure and, in severe cases, the rupture of PIR. To accurately predict the temperature of PIR, this study combines finite element simulation techniques with Support Vector Regression (SVR) optimized by an Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (IWOA) approach. The IWOA includes Tent mapping, a convergence factor based on the sigmoid function, and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck variation strategy. The IWOA-SVR model is compared with the SSA-SVR and WOA-SVR. The results reveal that the prediction accuracies of the IWOA-SVR model were 90.2% and 81.5% (above 100$^\circ$C) in the 3$^\circ$C temperature deviation range and 96.3% and 93.4% (above 100$^\circ$C) in the 4$^\circ$C temperature deviation range, surpassing the performance of the comparative models. This research demonstrates the method proposed can realize the online monitoring of the temperature of the PIR, which can effectively prevent thermal faults PIR and provide a basis for the opening and closing of the circuit breaker within a short period.

Dance of Channel and Sequence: An Efficient Attention-Based Approach for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

In recent developments, predictive models for multivariate time series analysis have exhibited commendable performance through the adoption of the prevalent principle of channel independence. Nevertheless, it is imperative to acknowledge the intricate interplay among channels, which fundamentally influences the outcomes of multivariate predictions. Consequently, the notion of channel independence, while offering utility to a certain extent, becomes increasingly impractical, leading to information degradation. In response to this pressing concern, we present CSformer, an innovative framework characterized by a meticulously engineered two-stage self-attention mechanism. This mechanism is purposefully designed to enable the segregated extraction of sequence-specific and channel-specific information, while sharing parameters to promote synergy and mutual reinforcement between sequences and channels. Simultaneously, we introduce sequence adapters and channel adapters, ensuring the model's ability to discern salient features across various dimensions. Rigorous experimentation, spanning multiple real-world datasets, underscores the robustness of our approach, consistently establishing its position at the forefront of predictive performance across all datasets. This augmentation substantially enhances the capacity for feature extraction inherent to multivariate time series data, facilitating a more comprehensive exploitation of the available information.

TimeSQL: Improving Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Multi-Scale Patching and Smooth Quadratic Loss

Time series is a special type of sequence data, a sequence of real-valued random variables collected at even intervals of time. The real-world multivariate time series comes with noises and contains complicated local and global temporal dynamics, making it difficult to forecast the future time series given the historical observations. This work proposes a simple and effective framework, coined as TimeSQL, which leverages multi-scale patching and smooth quadratic loss (SQL) to tackle the above challenges. The multi-scale patching transforms the time series into two-dimensional patches with different length scales, facilitating the perception of both locality and long-term correlations in time series. SQL is derived from the rational quadratic kernel and can dynamically adjust the gradients to avoid overfitting to the noises and outliers. Theoretical analysis demonstrates that, under mild conditions, the effect of the noises on the model with SQL is always smaller than that with MSE. Based on the two modules, TimeSQL achieves new state-of-the-art performance on the eight real-world benchmark datasets. Further ablation studies indicate that the key modules in TimeSQL could also enhance the results of other models for multivariate time series forecasting, standing as plug-and-play techniques.