QARIMA: A Quantum Approach To Classical Time Series Analysis

We present a quantum-inspired ARIMA methodology that integrates quantum-assisted lag discovery with \emph{fixed-configuration} variational quantum circuits (VQCs) for parameter estimation and weak-lag refinement. Differencing and candidate lags are identified via swap-test-driven quantum autocorrelation (QACF) and quantum partial autocorrelation (QPACF), with a delayed-matrix construction that aligns quantum projections to time-domain regressors, followed by standard information-criterion parsimony. Given the screened orders $(p,d,q)$, we retain a fixed VQC ansatz, optimizer, and training budget, preventing hyperparameter leakage, and deploy the circuit in two estimation roles: VQC-AR for autoregressive coefficients and VQC-MA for moving-average coefficients. Between screening and estimation, a lightweight VQC weak-lag refinement re-weights or prunes screened AR lags without altering $(p,d,q)$. Across environmental and industrial datasets, we perform rolling-origin evaluations against automated classical ARIMA, reporting out-of-sample mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and Diebold--Mariano tests on MSE and MAE. Empirically, the seven quantum contributions -- (1) differencing selection, (2) QACF, (3) QPACF, (4) swap-test primitives with delayed-matrix construction, (5) VQC-AR, (6) VQC weak-lag refinement, and (7) VQC-MA -- collectively reduce meta-optimization overhead and make explicit where quantum effects enter order discovery, lag refinement, and AR/MA parameter estimation.

Quantum-Inspired Geometric Classification with Correlation Group Structures and VQC Decision Modeling

We propose a geometry-driven quantum-inspired classification framework that integrates Correlation Group Structures (CGR), compact SWAP-test-based overlap estimation, and selective variational quantum decision modelling. Rather than directly approximating class posteriors, the method adopts a geometry-first paradigm in which samples are evaluated relative to class medoids using overlap-derived Euclidean-like and angular similarity channels. CGR organizes features into anchor-centered correlation neighbourhoods, generating nonlinear, correlation-weighted representations that enhance robustness in heterogeneous tabular spaces. These geometric signals are fused through a non-probabilistic margin-based fusion score, serving as a lightweight and data-efficient primary classifier for small-to-moderate datasets. On Heart Disease, Breast Cancer, and Wine Quality datasets, the fusion-score classifier achieves 0.8478, 0.8881, and 0.9556 test accuracy respectively, with macro-F1 scores of 0.8463, 0.8703, and 0.9522, demonstrating competitive and stable performance relative to classical baselines. For large-scale and highly imbalanced regimes, we construct compact Delta-distance contrastive features and train a variational quantum classifier (VQC) as a nonlinear refinement layer. On the Credit Card Fraud dataset (0.17% prevalence), the Delta + VQC pipeline achieves approximately 0.85 minority recall at an alert rate of approximately 1.31%, with ROC-AUC 0.9249 and PR-AUC 0.3251 under full-dataset evaluation. These results highlight the importance of operating-point-aware assessment in rare-event detection and demonstrate that the proposed hybrid geometric-variational framework provides interpretable, scalable, and regime-adaptive classification across heterogeneous data settings.