Temporal Coverage over Density: Parsimonious Training-Set Design for ML Climate Downscaling

High-resolution regional climate simulations provide critical information for climate impacts assessments but remain computationally expensive, motivating the development of machine-learning downscalers and emulators. A key challenge is determining how limited high-resolution simulations should be distributed across a changing climate trajectory to capture both forced climate response and internal variability. Using the CESM2 Large Ensemble over the western United States, we compare three training-year selection strategies under fixed data budgets: a contiguous block of historical years, years drawn from both the beginning and end of the simulation period, and years distributed throughout the full climate trajectory. Including both historical and future years consistently outperforms training on historical years alone, demonstrating the importance of exposing downscaling models to climate states outside the historical record and highlighting limitations of stationarity assumptions common in statistical downscaling. Training on years distributed throughout the full climate trajectory performs best overall, indicating that broad sampling of internal variability provides additional information beyond exposure to the forced climate response alone. Models trained on temporally distributed subsets more successfully reproduce variability in unseen ensemble members while retaining strong performance across a wide range of climate diagnostics. Even when trained on only one-tenth of the available high-resolution years, temporally distributed models remain highly competitive with full-data training. These results suggest that, under fixed computational budgets, broad sampling of climate states is more valuable than temporal continuity when allocating scarce high-resolution simulations. The findings provide practical guidance for regional climate downscaling and large-ensemble projection workflows.

An Open-Source, Open Data Approach to Activity Classification from Triaxial Accelerometry in an Ambulatory Setting

The accelerometer has become an almost ubiquitous device, providing enormous opportunities in healthcare monitoring beyond step counting or other average energy estimates in 15-60 second epochs. Objective: To develop an open data set with associated open-source code for processing 50 Hz tri-axial accelerometry-based to classify patient activity levels and natural types of movement. Approach: Data were collected from 23 healthy subjects (16 males and seven females) aged between 23 and 62 years using an ambulatory device, which included a triaxial accelerometer and synchronous lead II equivalent ECG for an average of 26 minutes each. Participants followed a standardized activity routine involving five distinct activities: lying, sitting, standing, walking, and jogging. Two classifiers were constructed: a signal processing technique to distinguish between high and low activity levels and a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based approach to classify each of the five activities. Main results: The binary (high/low) activity classifier exhibited an F1 score of 0.79. The multi-class CNN-based classifier provided an F1 score of 0.83. The code for this analysis has been made available under an open-source license together with the data on which the classifiers were trained and tested. Significance: The classification of behavioral activity, as demonstrated in this study, offers valuable context for interpreting traditional health metrics and may provide contextual information to support the future development of clinical decision-making tools for patient monitoring, predictive analytics, and personalized health interventions.