A Risk-Aware Framework for Covert Quantum Communication under Stochastic Channel Uncertainty

Covert quantum communication (CQC) seeks to hide not only message content but also the existence of communication. Existing CQC models usually assume deterministic or worst-case channel conditions, which are difficult to justify in realistic free-space optical and quantum links affected by turbulence, fluctuating background radiance, and stochastic detector noise. We propose a stochastic risk-aware optimization framework for CQC under uncertain physical-layer conditions. By modeling transmissivity and background noise as random variables, we express covertness and reliability guarantees through chance constraints with explicit outage budgets $ε_{\text{cov}}$ and $ε_{\text{rel}}$. This recasts CQC design as a risk-calibrated resource-allocation problem balancing throughput, covertness, reliability, and communication privacy. We derive quantile-based reformulations of the outage constraints, characterize feasible operating regions under stochastic uncertainty, and introduce a complementary risk-adjusted utility formulation to expose throughput-risk trade-offs. The analysis reveals that modest relaxations in acceptable covertness-outage risk can yield large throughput gains, while aggressive optimization may break covertness outside sparse-transmission regimes. Monte Carlo results under log-normal fading and stochastic thermal noise show that the framework expands feasible operating regions, improves covert throughput by more than an order of magnitude, and identifies degradation boundaries beyond which covert operation becomes unreliable. These results move CQC closer to realistic secure quantum networking for free-space, satellite, and low-probability-of-detection applications.

Conflict-Aware Robust Design for Covert Wireless Communications

Covert wireless communication aims to establish a reliable link while hiding the transmission from an adversary. In wireless settings, uncertainty plays a central role in this tradeoff: it can help mask the signal from a warden, but it also complicates robust system design. This raises a basic question: under bounded uncertainty, are reliability and covertness governed by the same adverse conditions? If not, robust covert design cannot be reduced to a single worst-case environment. In this paper, we study this question in a covert wireless model with quasi-static fading, outage-based reliability at Bob and radiometric detection at Willie. Uncertainty is represented through bounded intervals for Bob's average channel strength and Willie's noise power. To obtain a tractable characterization, we adopt a conditional large-N midpoint-threshold surrogate for Willie's detector, parameterized by a Willie-side fading realization. Within this framework, we show that the reliability constraint is governed by Bob's smallest admissible channel parameter, whereas the covertness constraint is governed by Willie's smallest admissible noise level. This establishes a conflict-aware robust-design principle: the adverse realizations for reliability and covertness differ. Based on this result, we derive closed-form expressions for the robustly feasible transmit power and the corresponding robust optimal rate. Numerical results show that bounded uncertainty contracts the feasible region, monotonically reduces the robust optimal rate, and can cause substantial loss relative to the nominal design. Monte Carlo results further show that the conditional surrogate closely tracks the midpoint-threshold radiometer in the intended low-effective-SNR regime. Overall, the paper shows that even in a streamlined wireless setting, robust covert design requires different adverse-case reasoning for reliability and covertness.

Robust Covert Quantum Communication under Bounded Channel Uncertainty

Covert quantum communication is usually analyzed under idealized assumptions that channel parameters, such as transmissivity and background noise, are perfectly known and constant. In realistic optical links, including satellite, fiber, and free-space systems, these parameters vary because of environmental fluctuations, calibration noise, and estimation errors. We study covert quantum communication over compound quantum optical channels with bounded uncertainty in both transmissivity and thermal noise, and derive guarantees that hold for all admissible channel realizations. We develop a robust framework for certifying both covertness and reliability under uncertainty. A central finding is that robustness cannot be obtained by simply inserting worst-case parameter values into known-channel bounds: the channel realizations that are most adverse for covertness and reliability generally occur at different corners of the uncertainty set. This creates a fundamental trade-off in secure system design. We derive a closed-form lower bound on the worst-case guaranteed number of covert qubits that can be transmitted reliably, identify a sharp feasibility boundary beyond which the guaranteed payload drops to zero, and quantify the security penalty caused by uncertainty. We validate the covertness term with QuTiP simulations of a four-mode bosonic model and combine it with an analytical reliability bound to evaluate the robust payload. Our results move covert quantum communication from nominal perfect-knowledge analysis to certified worst-case operation under uncertainty.