A Generalizable Physics-guided Causal Model for Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving

Trajectory prediction for traffic agents is critical for safe autonomous driving. However, achieving effective zero-shot generalization in previously unseen domains remains a significant challenge. Motivated by the consistent nature of kinematics across diverse domains, we aim to incorporate domain-invariant knowledge to enhance zero-shot trajectory prediction capabilities. The key challenges include: 1) effectively extracting domain-invariant scene representations, and 2) integrating invariant features with kinematic models to enable generalized predictions. To address these challenges, we propose a novel generalizable Physics-guided Causal Model (PCM), which comprises two core components: a Disentangled Scene Encoder, which adopts intervention-based disentanglement to extract domain-invariant features from scenes, and a CausalODE Decoder, which employs a causal attention mechanism to effectively integrate kinematic models with meaningful contextual information. Extensive experiments on real-world autonomous driving datasets demonstrate our method's superior zero-shot generalization performance in unseen cities, significantly outperforming competitive baselines. The source code is released at https://github.com/ZY-Zong/Physics-guided-Causal-Model.

Condensed Prototype Replay for Class Incremental Learning

Incremental learning (IL) suffers from catastrophic forgetting of old tasks when learning new tasks. This can be addressed by replaying previous tasks' data stored in a memory, which however is usually prone to size limits and privacy leakage. Recent studies store only class centroids as prototypes and augment them with Gaussian noises to create synthetic data for replay. However, they cannot effectively avoid class interference near their margins that leads to forgetting. Moreover, the injected noises distort the rich structure between real data and prototypes, hence even detrimental to IL. In this paper, we propose YONO that You Only Need to replay One condensed prototype per class, which for the first time can even outperform memory-costly exemplar-replay methods. To this end, we develop a novel prototype learning method that (1) searches for more representative prototypes in high-density regions by an attentional mean-shift algorithm and (2) moves samples in each class to their prototype to form a compact cluster distant from other classes. Thereby, the class margins are maximized, which effectively reduces interference causing future forgetting. In addition, we extend YONO to YONO+, which creates synthetic replay data by random sampling in the neighborhood of each prototype in the representation space. We show that the synthetic data can further improve YONO. Extensive experiments on IL benchmarks demonstrate the advantages of YONO/YONO+ over existing IL methods in terms of both accuracy and forgetting.