Generative Molecular Morphing for Flexible-Size Design via Unbalanced Optimal Transport

The success of generative molecular design hinges on a model's steerability toward high-reward samples. Because many molecular properties are intrinsically linked to molecular size, accurately capturing the joint distribution of properties and the number of atoms is essential. However, current diffusion and flow-based models fix the number of atoms, which ultimately limits their ability to navigate this complex relationship. To address this, we introduce Morph, a flexible-size generative model for conditional and unconditional 3D molecular design based on geometric graphs. By dynamically adapting size, Morph can seamlessly integrate existing structural priors, like scaffolds, and significantly enhances property steering. We show that Morph matches current fixed-size state-of-the-art models while offering the benefit of unparalleled sampling flexibility. We demonstrate out-of-distribution generation in regimes where previous models fail, paving the way for enhanced generative modeling for molecular design.

Bayesian Scattering: A Principled Baseline for Uncertainty on Image Data

Uncertainty quantification for image data is dominated by complex deep learning methods, yet the field lacks an interpretable, mathematically grounded baseline. We propose Bayesian scattering to fill this gap, serving as a first-step baseline akin to the role of Bayesian linear regression for tabular data. Our method couples the wavelet scattering transform-a deep, non-learned feature extractor-with a simple probabilistic head. Because scattering features are derived from geometric principles rather than learned, they avoid overfitting the training distribution. This helps provide sensible uncertainty estimates even under significant distribution shifts. We validate this on diverse tasks, including medical imaging under institution shift, wealth mapping under country-to-country shift, and Bayesian optimization of molecular properties. Our results suggest that Bayesian scattering is a solid baseline for complex uncertainty quantification methods.