MARLIN: De Novo Molecular Structure Elucidation from Tandem Mass Spectra without a Ground-Truth Formula

Untargeted tandem mass spectrometry (MS/MS) detects thousands of small molecules per biological sample, yet most go unidentified because they are absent from spectral libraries. These uncharacterized metabolites and natural products are precisely the compounds that matter for drug discovery, biomarker research, and exposomics. Computational de novo structure elucidation could close this gap, but almost all state-of-the-art methods assume the ground-truth molecular formula is known, an oracle that does not exist for genuinely novel compounds and is itself predicted with substantial error. We present MARLIN, a de novo method that elucidates structures directly from a spectrum with no molecular formula at any stage. A self-supervised encoder predicts a molecular fingerprint from the raw peaks, and a block-diffusion language model generates candidate structures conditioned only on the fingerprint and the instrument-measured precursor mass. A provably safe mass-shell constraint keeps every candidate consistent with the measured mass without fixing the atom inventory, and candidates are accepted by exact parts-per-million mass agreement. A symmetric noise objective absorbs encoder error, and a candidate-diversity mechanism keeps the candidates from collapsing to a single structure. On the NPLIB1 benchmark, MARLIN is the strongest method evaluated without a ground-truth formula across exact-match accuracy, structural distance, and fingerprint similarity, and it recovers the correct molecular formula as a byproduct about as often as a dedicated predictor without ever using one. MARLIN enables reliable de novo structure elucidation in the realistic discovery regime where the molecular formula is unavailable.

Comparative Analysis of Formula and Structure Prediction from Tandem Mass Spectra

Liquid chromatography mass spectrometry (LC-MS)-based metabolomics and exposomics aim to measure detectable small molecules in biological samples. The results facilitate hypothesis-generating discovery of metabolic changes and disease mechanisms and provide information about environmental exposures and their effects on human health. Metabolomics and exposomics are made possible by the high resolving power of LC and high mass measurement accuracy of MS. However, a majority of the signals from such studies still cannot be identified or annotated using conventional library searching because existing spectral libraries are far from covering the vast chemical space captured by LC-MS/MS. To address this challenge and unleash the full potential of metabolomics and exposomics, a number of computational approaches have been developed to predict compounds based on tandem mass spectra. Published assessment of these approaches used different datasets and evaluation. To select prediction workflows for practical applications and identify areas for further improvements, we have carried out a systematic evaluation of the state-of-the-art prediction algorithms. Specifically, the accuracy of formula prediction and structure prediction was evaluated for different types of adducts. The resulting findings have established realistic performance baselines, identified critical bottlenecks, and provided guidance to further improve compound predictions based on MS.