Bayesian Repetition Penalty: A Principled Adjacent-Conditional Framework for Reversing Attention Collapse in Autoregressive Language Models

Attention collapse in autoregressive language models -- manifested as repetitive token loops where the model becomes trapped in self-reinforcing attractors -- is a persistent pathology that existing decoding-time heuristics fail to address at its root cause. We present a principled framework that penalises or compensates anomalous confidence arising from collapsed generation patterns, by comparing a token's observed frequency against its corpus prior through an adjacent-conditional probability construction. The resulting self-normalising penalty ratio $R=f(m,n,p)/f(np,n,p)$ requires no ad hoc standardisation and admits a closed-form logit offset with zero approximation error. The correction is isolated from the loss gradient and accumulated into a frozen output-layer bias via exponential moving average, enabling deployment as a repair mechanism for models that have already collapsed without requiring intrusive modifications to standard training pipelines. Experimental validation on a 1.5B-parameter model demonstrates that the frozen-bias mechanism can rescue a model already trapped in a collapsed attractor, reducing 2-gram repetition from 0.073 to near 0 while preserving generation quality.