What Are We Actually Benchmarking in Robot Manipulation?

A robotics benchmark score measures success under one fixed evaluation setup, yet is routinely treated as evidence of general manipulation capability. We identify four failure modes, each of which weakens or invalidates a benchmark's role as a valid proxy for that capability: shortcut solvability, lack of statistical significance, creeping overfitting, and data-source dependence. We propose one diagnostic per failure mode. We audit LIBERO, CALVIN, SimplerEnv, RoboCasa, and RoboTwin 2.0 under these diagnostics. LIBERO and CALVIN fail multiple diagnostics. RoboCasa and RoboTwin 2.0 fail fewer, despite appearing far less often in recent progress claims. On LIBERO, a 0.09B probe with no language encoder scores at or near reported SOTA, and most reported gains are not provably statistically significant. On CALVIN, randomizing block poses within the training range drops performance for every tested policy. We release the four diagnostics with reference implementations for authors and reviewers to apply before treating a benchmark score as evidence of progress. Code and artifacts are available at https://ripl.github.io/manipulation_benchmark_audit/.