Abstract:Accurate methane sorption prediction across heterogeneous coal ranks requires models that combine thermodynamic consistency, efficient knowledge transfer across data-scarce geological systems, and calibrated uncertainty estimates, capabilities that are rarely addressed together in existing frameworks. We present a physics-informed transfer learning framework that adapts a hydrogen sorption PINN to methane sorption prediction via Elastic Weight Consolidation, coal-specific feature engineering, and a three-phase curriculum that progressively balances transfer preservation with thermodynamic fine-tuning. Trained on 993 equilibrium measurements from 114 independent coal experiments spanning lignite to anthracite, the framework achieves R2 = 0.932 on held-out coal samples, a 227% improvement over pressure-only classical isotherms, while hydrogen pre-training delivers 18.9% lower RMSE and 19.4% faster convergence than random initialization. Five Bayesian uncertainty quantification approaches reveal a systematic divergence in performance across physics-constrained architectures. Monte Carlo Dropout achieves well-calibrated uncertainty at minimal overhead, while deep ensembles, regardless of architectural diversity or initialization strategy, exhibit performance degradation because shared physics constraints narrow the admissible solution manifold. SHAP and ALE analyses confirm that learned representations remain physically interpretable and aligned with established coal sorption mechanisms: moisture-volatile interactions are most influential, pressure-temperature coupling captures thermodynamic co-dependence, and features exhibit non-monotonic effects. These results identify Monte Carlo Dropout as the best-performing UQ method in this physics-constrained transfer learning framework, and demonstrate cross-gas transfer learning as a data-efficient strategy for geological material modeling.
Abstract:In this article, we present a novel data assimilation strategy in pore-scale imaging and demonstrate that this makes it possible to robustly address reactive inverse problems incorporating Uncertainty Quantification (UQ). Pore-scale modeling of reactive flow offers a valuable opportunity to investigate the evolution of macro-scale properties subject to dynamic processes. Yet, they suffer from imaging limitations arising from the associated X-ray microtomography (X-ray microCT) process, which induces discrepancies in the properties estimates. Assessment of the kinetic parameters also raises challenges, as reactive coefficients are critical parameters that can cover a wide range of values. We account for these two issues and ensure reliable calibration of pore-scale modeling, based on dynamical microCT images, by integrating uncertainty quantification in the workflow. The present method is based on a multitasking formulation of reactive inverse problems combining data-driven and physics-informed techniques in calcite dissolution. This allows quantifying morphological uncertainties on the porosity field and estimating reactive parameter ranges through prescribed PDE models with a latent concentration field and dynamical microCT. The data assimilation strategy relies on sequential reinforcement incorporating successively additional PDE constraints. We guarantee robust and unbiased uncertainty quantification by straightforward adaptive weighting of Bayesian Physics-Informed Neural Networks (BPINNs), ensuring reliable micro-porosity changes during geochemical transformations. We demonstrate successful Bayesian Inference in 1D+Time and 2D+Time calcite dissolution based on synthetic microCT images with meaningful posterior distribution on the reactive parameters and dimensionless numbers.