Kernel weighted importance sampling for off-policy evaluation in contextual bandits

This article presents a novel estimator for performing off-policy evaluation using only offline data for contextual bandits. The proposed estimator, Kernel-WIS is demonstrated to be asymptotically consistent and to empirically outperform strong baselines (including vanilla weighted importance sampling), particularly under complex conditions including behaviour policy miss-specification. The benefit of Kernel-WIS is derived from combining the bounded property of vanilla weighted importance sampling with the linearity of vanilla importance sampling.

Evaluating covariate balance for long time horizon Markov decision processes

This article explores the application of covariate balance diagnostics for detecting the presence of hidden confounding/model miss-specification in studies applying offline reinforcement learning (RL) to deriving optimal treatment recommendations. The results demonstrate that, either there is a high risk of bias within existing offline RL studies for treatment recommendations or, existing covariate balance metrics are not sufficient to assess such studies. Regardless, existing offline RL studies cannot be concluded as being statistically robust. The conclusions propose future research directions for obtaining more methodologically robust applications of offline RL to treatment recommendation problems.

A Meta-embedding-based Ensemble Approach for ICD Coding Prediction

International Classification of Diseases (ICD) are the de facto codes used globally for clinical coding. These codes enable healthcare providers to claim reimbursement and facilitate efficient storage and retrieval of diagnostic information. The problem of automatically assigning ICD codes has been approached in literature as a multilabel classification, using neural models on unstructured data. Our proposed approach enhances the performance of neural models by effectively training word vectors using routine medical data as well as external knowledge from scientific articles. Furthermore, we exploit the geometric properties of the two sets of word vectors and combine them into a common dimensional space, using meta-embedding techniques. We demonstrate the efficacy of this approach for a multimodal setting, using unstructured and structured information. We empirically show that our approach improves the current state-of-the-art deep learning architectures and benefits ensemble models.