Behavior-Centric Extraction of Scenarios from Highway Traffic Data and their Domain-Knowledge-Guided Clustering using CVQ-VAE

Approval of ADS depends on evaluating its behavior within representative real-world traffic scenarios. A common way to obtain such scenarios is to extract them from real-world data recordings. These can then be grouped and serve as basis on which the ADS is subsequently tested. This poses two central challenges: how scenarios are extracted and how they are grouped. Existing extraction methods rely on heterogeneous definitions, hindering scenario comparability. For the grouping of scenarios, rule-based or ML-based methods can be utilized. However, while modern ML-based approaches can handle the complexity of traffic scenarios, unlike rule-based approaches, they lack interpretability and may not align with domain-knowledge. This work contributes to a standardized scenario extraction based on the Scenario-as-Specification concept, as well as a domain-knowledge-guided scenario clustering process. Experiments on the highD dataset demonstrate that scenarios can be extracted reliably and that domain-knowledge can be effectively integrated into the clustering process. As a result, the proposed methodology supports a more standardized process for deriving scenario categories from highway data recordings and thus enables a more efficient validation process of automated vehicles.

Uncertainty-Aware Diffusion Model for Multimodal Highway Trajectory Prediction via DDIM Sampling

Accurate and uncertainty-aware trajectory prediction remains a core challenge for autonomous driving, driven by complex multi-agent interactions, diverse scene contexts and the inherently stochastic nature of future motion. Diffusion-based generative models have recently shown strong potential for capturing multimodal futures, yet existing approaches such as cVMD suffer from slow sampling, limited exploitation of generative diversity and brittle scenario encodings. This work introduces cVMDx, an enhanced diffusion-based trajectory prediction framework that improves efficiency, robustness and multimodal predictive capability. Through DDIM sampling, cVMDx achieves up to a 100x reduction in inference time, enabling practical multi-sample generation for uncertainty estimation. A fitted Gaussian Mixture Model further provides tractable multimodal predictions from the generated trajectories. In addition, a CVQ-VAE variant is evaluated for scenario encoding. Experiments on the publicly available highD dataset show that cVMDx achieves higher accuracy and significantly improved efficiency over cVMD, enabling fully stochastic, multimodal trajectory prediction.