Self Supervised Vision for Climate Downscaling

Climate change is one of the most critical challenges that our planet is facing today. Rising global temperatures are already bringing noticeable changes to Earth's weather and climate patterns with an increased frequency of unpredictable and extreme weather events. Future projections for climate change research are based on Earth System Models (ESMs), the computer models that simulate the Earth's climate system. ESMs provide a framework to integrate various physical systems, but their output is bound by the enormous computational resources required for running and archiving higher-resolution simulations. For a given resource budget, the ESMs are generally run on a coarser grid, followed by a computationally lighter $downscaling$ process to obtain a finer-resolution output. In this work, we present a deep-learning model for downscaling ESM simulation data that does not require high-resolution ground truth data for model optimization. This is realized by leveraging salient data distribution patterns and the hidden dependencies between weather variables for an $\textit{individual}$ data point at $\textit{runtime}$. Extensive evaluation with $2$x, $3$x, and $4$x scaling factors demonstrates that the proposed model consistently obtains superior performance over that of various baselines. The improved downscaling performance and no dependence on high-resolution ground truth data make the proposed method a valuable tool for climate research and mark it as a promising direction for future research.

Generating High-Resolution Regional Precipitation Using Conditional Diffusion Model

Climate downscaling is a crucial technique within climate research, serving to project low-resolution (LR) climate data to higher resolutions (HR). Previous research has demonstrated the effectiveness of deep learning for downscaling tasks. However, most deep learning models for climate downscaling may not perform optimally for high scaling factors (i.e., 4x, 8x) due to their limited ability to capture the intricate details required for generating HR climate data. Furthermore, climate data behaves differently from image data, necessitating a nuanced approach when employing deep generative models. In response to these challenges, this paper presents a deep generative model for downscaling climate data, specifically precipitation on a regional scale. We employ a denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM) conditioned on multiple LR climate variables. The proposed model is evaluated using precipitation data from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) v1.2.2 simulation. Our results demonstrate significant improvements over existing baselines, underscoring the effectiveness of the conditional diffusion model in downscaling climate data.