Markov Switching Model for Driver Behavior Prediction: Use cases on Smartphones

Several intelligent transportation systems focus on studying the various driver behaviors for numerous objectives. This includes the ability to analyze driver actions, sensitivity, distraction, and response time. As the data collection is one of the major concerns for learning and validating different driving situations, we present a driver behavior switching model validated by a low-cost data collection solution using smartphones. The proposed model is validated using a real dataset to predict the driver behavior in short duration periods. A literature survey on motion detection (specifically driving behavior detection using smartphones) is presented. Multiple Markov Switching Variable Auto-Regression (MSVAR) models are implemented to achieve a sophisticated fitting with the collected driver behavior data. This yields more accurate predictions not only for driver behavior but also for the entire driving situation. The performance of the presented models together with a suitable model selection criteria is also presented. The proposed driver behavior prediction framework can potentially be used in accident prediction and driver safety systems.

MARL-FWC: Optimal Coordination of Freeway Traffic Control Measures

The objective of this article is to optimize the overall traffic flow on freeways using multiple ramp metering controls plus its complementary Dynamic Speed Limits (DSLs). An optimal freeway operation can be reached when minimizing the difference between the freeway density and the critical ratio for maximum traffic flow. In this article, a Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Freeways Control (MARL-FWC) system for ramps metering and DSLs is proposed. MARL-FWC introduces a new microscopic framework at the network level based on collaborative Markov Decision Process modeling (Markov game) and an associated cooperative Q-learning algorithm. The technique incorporates payoff propagation (Max-Plus algorithm) under the coordination graphs framework, particularly suited for optimal control purposes. MARL-FWC provides three control designs: fully independent, fully distributed, and centralized; suited for different network architectures. MARL-FWC was extensively tested in order to assess the proposed model of the joint payoff, as well as the global payoff. Experiments are conducted with heavy traffic flow under the renowned VISSIM traffic simulator to evaluate MARL-FWC. The experimental results show a significant decrease in the total travel time and an increase in the average speed (when compared with the base case) while maintaining an optimal traffic flow.