Self-Organized Conformal Prediction: Reducing Regional Coverage Gaps with Unsupervised Group Discovery

Conformal prediction guarantees marginal coverage, but pooled calibration averages over heterogeneous regions and can mask regional undercoverage in safety-critical subgroups. We introduce Self-Organized Conformal Prediction (SOCP), a calibration scheme that discovers input-space groups with a Self-Organizing Map (SOM) and, at test time, draws a local calibration buffer from the query's best-matching unit (BMU) cell or a fixed grid neighborhood. The same retrieval rule applies to regression and classification tasks across tabular features and image embeddings, leaving the predictor and nonconformity score untouched. SOCP gives exact validity for BMU-cell retrieval and fixed retrieved-set validity for neighborhood buffers; central-cell validity for neighborhood retrieval holds up to a Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) bias term. A split-routed extension recovers fixed retrieved-set validity conditional on the routing split. On eight regression and classification benchmarks, SO-SCP reduces the weighted regional coverage gap on $7/8$ datasets (mean paired change $-7.1\%$) for a mean prediction-set size increase of $6.2\%$, with negligible overhead on the largest six datasets; SO-CQR yields smaller gains, since quantile regression already absorbs much of the heterogeneity. By learning groups directly from the input geometry, SOCP provides group-local calibration with exact fixed-group guarantees and approximate central-cell guarantees, without supervised partitions or predictor retraining.

BARCHAN: Blob Alignment for Robust CHromatographic ANalysis

Comprehensive Two dimensional gas chromatography (GCxGC) plays a central role into the elucidation of complex samples. The automation of the identification of peak areas is of prime interest to obtain a fast and repeatable analysis of chromatograms. To determine the concentration of compounds or pseudo-compounds, templates of blobs are defined and superimposed on a reference chromatogram. The templates then need to be modified when different chromatograms are recorded. In this study, we present a chromatogram and template alignment method based on peak registration called BARCHAN. Peaks are identified using a robust mathematical morphology tool. The alignment is performed by a probabilistic estimation of a rigid transformation along the first dimension, and a non-rigid transformation in the second dimension, taking into account noise, outliers and missing peaks in a fully automated way. Resulting aligned chromatograms and masks are presented on two datasets. The proposed algorithm proves to be fast and reliable. It significantly reduces the time to results for GCxGC analysis.