Thompson Sampling-like Algorithms for Stochastic Rising Bandits

Stochastic rising rested bandit (SRRB) is a setting where the arms' expected rewards increase as they are pulled. It models scenarios in which the performances of the different options grow as an effect of an underlying learning process (e.g., online model selection). Even if the bandit literature provides specifically crafted algorithms based on upper-confidence bounds for such a setting, no study about Thompson sampling TS-like algorithms has been performed so far. The strong regularity of the expected rewards in the SRRB setting suggests that specific instances may be tackled effectively using adapted and sliding-window TS approaches. This work provides novel regret analyses for such algorithms in SRRBs, highlighting the challenges and providing new technical tools of independent interest. Our results allow us to identify under which assumptions TS-like algorithms succeed in achieving sublinear regret and which properties of the environment govern the complexity of the regret minimization problem when approached with TS. Furthermore, we provide a regret lower bound based on a complexity index we introduce. Finally, we conduct numerical simulations comparing TS-like algorithms with state-of-the-art approaches for SRRBs in synthetic and real-world settings.

Rising Rested Bandits: Lower Bounds and Efficient Algorithms

This paper is in the field of stochastic Multi-Armed Bandits (MABs), i.e. those sequential selection techniques able to learn online using only the feedback given by the chosen option (a.k.a. $arm$). We study a particular case of the rested bandits in which the arms' expected reward is monotonically non-decreasing and concave. We study the inherent sample complexity of the regret minimization problem by deriving suitable regret lower bounds. Then, we design an algorithm for the rested case $\textit{R-ed-UCB}$, providing a regret bound depending on the properties of the instance and, under certain circumstances, of $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(T^{\frac{2}{3}})$. We empirically compare our algorithms with state-of-the-art methods for non-stationary MABs over several synthetically generated tasks and an online model selection problem for a real-world dataset

Sliding-Window Thompson Sampling for Non-Stationary Settings

$\textit{Restless Bandits}$ describe sequential decision-making problems in which the rewards evolve with time independently from the actions taken by the policy-maker. It has been shown that classical Bandit algorithms fail when the underlying environment is changing, making clear that in order to tackle more challenging scenarios specifically crafted algorithms are needed. In this paper, extending and correcting the work by \cite{trovo2020sliding}, we analyze two Thompson-Sampling inspired algorithms, namely $\texttt{BETA-SWTS}$ and $\texttt{$\gamma$-SWGTS}$, introduced to face the additional complexity given by the non-stationary nature of the settings; in particular we derive a general formulation for the regret in $\textit{any}$ arbitrary restless environment for both Bernoulli and Subgaussian rewards, and, through the introduction of new quantities, we delve in what contribution lays the deeper foundations of the error made by the algorithms. Finally, we infer from the general formulation the regret for two of the most common non-stationary settings: the $\textit{Abruptly Changing}$ and the $\textit{Smoothly Changing}$ environments.