Deep ensembles can be seen as the current state-of-the-art for uncertainty quantification in deep learning. While the approach was originally proposed as an non-Bayesian technique, arguments towards its Bayesian footing have been put forward as well. We show that deep ensembles can be viewed as an approximate Bayesian method by specifying the corresponding assumptions. Our finding leads to an improved approximation which results in an increased epistemic part of the uncertainty. Numerical examples suggest that the improved approximation can lead to more reliable uncertainties. Analytical derivations ensure easy calculation of results.
Uncertainty quantification by ensemble learning is explored in terms of an application from computational optical form measurements. The application requires to solve a large-scale, nonlinear inverse problem. Ensemble learning is used to extend a recently developed deep learning approach for this application in order to provide an uncertainty quantification of its predicted solution to the inverse problem. By systematically inserting out-of-distribution errors as well as noisy data the reliability of the developed uncertainty quantification is explored. Results are encouraging and the proposed application exemplifies the ability of ensemble methods to make trustworthy predictions on high dimensional data in a real-world application.
Deep neural networks have been successfully applied in many different fields like computational imaging, medical healthcare, signal processing, or autonomous driving. In a proof-of-principle study, we demonstrate that computational optical form measurement can also benefit from deep learning. A data-driven machine learning approach is explored to solve an inverse problem in the accurate measurement of optical surfaces. The approach is developed and tested using virtual measurements with known ground truth.