Long-Term Typhoon Trajectory Prediction: A Physics-Conditioned Approach Without Reanalysis Data

In the face of escalating climate changes, typhoon intensities and their ensuing damage have surged. Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for effective damage control. Traditional physics-based models, while comprehensive, are computationally intensive and rely heavily on the expertise of forecasters. Contemporary data-driven methods often rely on reanalysis data, which can be considered to be the closest to the true representation of weather conditions. However, reanalysis data is not produced in real-time and requires time for adjustment because prediction models are calibrated with observational data. This reanalysis data, such as ERA5, falls short in challenging real-world situations. Optimal preparedness necessitates predictions at least 72 hours in advance, beyond the capabilities of standard physics models. In response to these constraints, we present an approach that harnesses real-time Unified Model (UM) data, sidestepping the limitations of reanalysis data. Our model provides predictions at 6-hour intervals for up to 72 hours in advance and outperforms both state-of-the-art data-driven methods and numerical weather prediction models. In line with our efforts to mitigate adversities inflicted by \rthree{typhoons}, we release our preprocessed \textit{PHYSICS TRACK} dataset, which includes ERA5 reanalysis data, typhoon best-track, and UM forecast data.

Bag of Tricks for Domain Adaptive Multi-Object Tracking

In this paper, SIA_Track is presented which is developed by a research team from SI Analytics. The proposed method was built from pre-existing detector and tracker under the tracking-by-detection paradigm. The tracker we used is an online tracker that merely links newly received detections with existing tracks. The core part of our method is training procedure of the object detector where synthetic and unlabeled real data were only used for training. To maximize the performance on real data, we first propose to use pseudo-labeling that generates imperfect labels for real data using a model trained with synthetic dataset. After that model soups scheme was applied to aggregate weights produced during iterative pseudo-labeling. Besides, cross-domain mixed sampling also helped to increase detection performance on real data. Our method, SIA_Track, takes the first place on MOTSynth2MOT17 track at BMTT 2022 challenge. The code is available on https://github.com/SIAnalytics/BMTT2022_SIA_track.

An End-to-End Trainable Video Panoptic Segmentation Method usingTransformers

In this paper, we present an algorithm to tackle a video panoptic segmentation problem, a newly emerging area of research. The video panoptic segmentation is a task that unifies the typical task of panoptic segmentation and multi-object tracking. In other words, it requires generating the instance tracking IDs along with panoptic segmentation results across video sequences. Our proposed video panoptic segmentation algorithm uses the transformer and it can be trained in end-to-end with an input of multiple video frames. We test our method on the STEP dataset and report its performance with recently proposed STQ metric. The method archived 57.81\% on the KITTI-STEP dataset and 31.8\% on the MOTChallenge-STEP dataset.