Evaluating Supervised Machine Learning Models: Principles, Pitfalls, and Metric Selection

The evaluation of supervised machine learning models is a critical stage in the development of reliable predictive systems. Despite the widespread availability of machine learning libraries and automated workflows, model assessment is often reduced to the reporting of a small set of aggregate metrics, which can lead to misleading conclusions about real-world performance. This paper examines the principles, challenges, and practical considerations involved in evaluating supervised learning algorithms across classification and regression tasks. In particular, it discusses how evaluation outcomes are influenced by dataset characteristics, validation design, class imbalance, asymmetric error costs, and the choice of performance metrics. Through a series of controlled experimental scenarios using diverse benchmark datasets, the study highlights common pitfalls such as the accuracy paradox, data leakage, inappropriate metric selection, and overreliance on scalar summary measures. The paper also compares alternative validation strategies and emphasizes the importance of aligning model evaluation with the intended operational objective of the task. By presenting evaluation as a decision-oriented and context-dependent process, this work provides a structured foundation for selecting metrics and validation protocols that support statistically sound, robust, and trustworthy supervised machine learning systems.

Utilizing Large Language Models for Machine Learning Explainability

This study explores the explainability capabilities of large language models (LLMs), when employed to autonomously generate machine learning (ML) solutions. We examine two classification tasks: (i) a binary classification problem focused on predicting driver alertness states, and (ii) a multilabel classification problem based on the yeast dataset. Three state-of-the-art LLMs (i.e. OpenAI GPT, Anthropic Claude, and DeepSeek) are prompted to design training pipelines for four common classifiers: Random Forest, XGBoost, Multilayer Perceptron, and Long Short-Term Memory networks. The generated models are evaluated in terms of predictive performance (recall, precision, and F1-score) and explainability using SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations). Specifically, we measure Average SHAP Fidelity (Mean Squared Error between SHAP approximations and model outputs) and Average SHAP Sparsity (number of features deemed influential). The results reveal that LLMs are capable of producing effective and interpretable models, achieving high fidelity and consistent sparsity, highlighting their potential as automated tools for interpretable ML pipeline generation. The results show that LLMs can produce effective, interpretable pipelines with high fidelity and consistent sparsity, closely matching manually engineered baselines.

Evolving Machine Learning: A Survey

In an era defined by rapid data evolution, traditional machine learning (ML) models often fall short in adapting to dynamic environments. Evolving Machine Learning (EML) has emerged as a critical paradigm, enabling continuous learning and adaptation in real-time data streams. This survey presents a comprehensive analysis of EML, focusing on five core challenges: data drift, concept drift, catastrophic forgetting, skewed learning, and network adaptation. We systematically review over 120 studies, categorizing state-of-the-art methods across supervised, unsupervised, and semi-supervised approaches. The survey explores diverse evaluation metrics, benchmark datasets, and real-world applications, offering a comparative lens on the effectiveness and limitations of current techniques. Additionally, we highlight the growing role of adaptive neural architectures, meta-learning, and ensemble strategies in addressing evolving data complexities. By synthesizing insights from recent literature, this work not only maps the current landscape of EML but also identifies critical gaps and opportunities for future research. Our findings aim to guide researchers and practitioners in developing robust, ethical, and scalable EML systems for real-world deployment.