Learning Locally Interacting Discrete Dynamical Systems: Towards Data-Efficient and Scalable Prediction

Locally interacting dynamical systems, such as epidemic spread, rumor propagation through crowd, and forest fire, exhibit complex global dynamics originated from local, relatively simple, and often stochastic interactions between dynamic elements. Their temporal evolution is often driven by transitions between a finite number of discrete states. Despite significant advancements in predictive modeling through deep learning, such interactions among many elements have rarely explored as a specific domain for predictive modeling. We present Attentive Recurrent Neural Cellular Automata (AR-NCA), to effectively discover unknown local state transition rules by associating the temporal information between neighboring cells in a permutation-invariant manner. AR-NCA exhibits the superior generalizability across various system configurations (i.e., spatial distribution of states), data efficiency and robustness in extremely data-limited scenarios even in the presence of stochastic interactions, and scalability through spatial dimension-independent prediction.

Sparse Spiking Neural Network: Exploiting Heterogeneity in Timescales for Pruning Recurrent SNN

Recurrent Spiking Neural Networks (RSNNs) have emerged as a computationally efficient and brain-inspired learning model. The design of sparse RSNNs with fewer neurons and synapses helps reduce the computational complexity of RSNNs. Traditionally, sparse SNNs are obtained by first training a dense and complex SNN for a target task, and, then, pruning neurons with low activity (activity-based pruning) while maintaining task performance. In contrast, this paper presents a task-agnostic methodology for designing sparse RSNNs by pruning a large randomly initialized model. We introduce a novel Lyapunov Noise Pruning (LNP) algorithm that uses graph sparsification methods and utilizes Lyapunov exponents to design a stable sparse RSNN from a randomly initialized RSNN. We show that the LNP can leverage diversity in neuronal timescales to design a sparse Heterogeneous RSNN (HRSNN). Further, we show that the same sparse HRSNN model can be trained for different tasks, such as image classification and temporal prediction. We experimentally show that, in spite of being task-agnostic, LNP increases computational efficiency (fewer neurons and synapses) and prediction performance of RSNNs compared to traditional activity-based pruning of trained dense models.

Studying the Impact of Stochasticity on the Evaluation of Deep Neural Networks for Forest-Fire Prediction

This paper presents the first systematic study of the evaluation of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) for discrete dynamical systems under stochastic assumptions, with a focus on wildfire prediction. We develop a framework to study the impact of stochasticity on two classes of evaluation metrics: classification-based metrics, which assess fidelity to observed ground truth (GT), and proper scoring rules, which test fidelity-to-statistic. Our findings reveal that evaluating for fidelity-to-statistic is a reliable alternative in highly stochastic scenarios. We extend our analysis to real-world wildfire data, highlighting limitations in traditional wildfire prediction evaluation methods, and suggest interpretable stochasticity-compatible alternatives.

AutoMixer for Improved Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting on Business and IT Observability Data

The efficiency of business processes relies on business key performance indicators (Biz-KPIs), that can be negatively impacted by IT failures. Business and IT Observability (BizITObs) data fuses both Biz-KPIs and IT event channels together as multivariate time series data. Forecasting Biz-KPIs in advance can enhance efficiency and revenue through proactive corrective measures. However, BizITObs data generally exhibit both useful and noisy inter-channel interactions between Biz-KPIs and IT events that need to be effectively decoupled. This leads to suboptimal forecasting performance when existing multivariate forecasting models are employed. To address this, we introduce AutoMixer, a time-series Foundation Model (FM) approach, grounded on the novel technique of channel-compressed pretrain and finetune workflows. AutoMixer leverages an AutoEncoder for channel-compressed pretraining and integrates it with the advanced TSMixer model for multivariate time series forecasting. This fusion greatly enhances the potency of TSMixer for accurate forecasts and also generalizes well across several downstream tasks. Through detailed experiments and dashboard analytics, we show AutoMixer's capability to consistently improve the Biz-KPI's forecasting accuracy (by 11-15\%) which directly translates to actionable business insights.

Learning Representations on Logs for AIOps

AI for IT Operations (AIOps) is a powerful platform that Site Reliability Engineers (SREs) use to automate and streamline operational workflows with minimal human intervention. Automated log analysis is a critical task in AIOps as it provides key insights for SREs to identify and address ongoing faults. Tasks such as log format detection, log classification, and log parsing are key components of automated log analysis. Most of these tasks require supervised learning; however, there are multiple challenges due to limited labelled log data and the diverse nature of log data. Large Language Models (LLMs) such as BERT and GPT3 are trained using self-supervision on a vast amount of unlabeled data. These models provide generalized representations that can be effectively used for various downstream tasks with limited labelled data. Motivated by the success of LLMs in specific domains like science and biology, this paper introduces a LLM for log data which is trained on public and proprietary log data. The results of our experiments demonstrate that the proposed LLM outperforms existing models on multiple downstream tasks. In summary, AIOps powered by LLMs offers an efficient and effective solution for automating log analysis tasks and enabling SREs to focus on higher-level tasks. Our proposed LLM, trained on public and proprietary log data, offers superior performance on multiple downstream tasks, making it a valuable addition to the AIOps platform.

Forecasting local behavior of multi-agent system and its application to forest fire model

In this paper, we study a CNN-LSTM model to forecast the state of a specific agent in a large multi-agent system. The proposed model consists of a CNN encoder to represent the system into a low-dimensional vector, a LSTM module to learn the agent dynamics in the vector space, and a MLP decoder to predict the future state of an agent. A forest fire model is considered as an example where we need to predict when a specific tree agent will be burning. We observe that the proposed model achieves higher AUC with less computation than a frame-based model and significantly saves computational costs such as the activation than ConvLSTM.

Picking Pearl From Seabed: Extracting Artefacts from Noisy Issue Triaging Collaborative Conversations for Hybrid Cloud Services

Site Reliability Engineers (SREs) play a key role in issue identification and resolution. After an issue is reported, SREs come together in a virtual room (collaboration platform) to triage the issue. While doing so, they leave behind a wealth of information which can be used later for triaging similar issues. However, usability of the conversations offer challenges due to them being i) noisy and ii) unlabelled. This paper presents a novel approach for issue artefact extraction from the noisy conversations with minimal labelled data. We propose a combination of unsupervised and supervised model with minimum human intervention that leverages domain knowledge to predict artefacts for a small amount of conversation data and use that for fine-tuning an already pretrained language model for artefact prediction on a large amount of conversation data. Experimental results on our dataset show that the proposed ensemble of unsupervised and supervised model is better than using either one of them individually.

Towards Improving the Trustworthiness of Hardware based Malware Detector using Online Uncertainty Estimation

Hardware-based Malware Detectors (HMDs) using Machine Learning (ML) models have shown promise in detecting malicious workloads. However, the conventional black-box based machine learning (ML) approach used in these HMDs fail to address the uncertain predictions, including those made on zero-day malware. The ML models used in HMDs are agnostic to the uncertainty that determines whether the model "knows what it knows," severely undermining its trustworthiness. We propose an ensemble-based approach that quantifies uncertainty in predictions made by ML models of an HMD, when it encounters an unknown workload than the ones it was trained on. We test our approach on two different HMDs that have been proposed in the literature. We show that the proposed uncertainty estimator can detect >90% of unknown workloads for the Power-management based HMD, and conclude that the overlapping benign and malware classes undermine the trustworthiness of the Performance Counter-based HMD.

FIXME: Enhance Software Reliability with Hybrid Approaches in Cloud

With the promise of reliability in cloud, more enterprises are migrating to cloud. The process of continuous integration/deployment (CICD) in cloud connects developers who need to deliver value faster and more transparently with site reliability engineers (SREs) who need to manage applications reliably. SREs feed back development issues to developers, and developers commit fixes and trigger CICD to redeploy. The release cycle is more continuous than ever, thus the code to production is faster and more automated. To provide this higher level agility, the cloud platforms become more complex in the face of flexibility with deeper layers of virtualization. However, reliability does not come for free with all these complexities. Software engineers and SREs need to deal with wider information spectrum from virtualized layers. Therefore, providing correlated information with true positive evidences is critical to identify the root cause of issues quickly in order to reduce mean time to recover (MTTR), performance metrics for SREs. Similarity, knowledge, or statistics driven approaches have been effective, but with increasing data volume and types, an individual approach is limited to correlate semantic relations of different data sources. In this paper, we introduce FIXME to enhance software reliability with hybrid diagnosis approaches for enterprises. Our evaluation results show using hybrid diagnosis approach is about 17% better in precision. The results are helpful for both practitioners and researchers to develop hybrid diagnosis in the highly dynamic cloud environment.

Multifaceted Context Representation using Dual Attention for Ontology Alignment

Ontology Alignment is an important research problem that finds application in various fields such as data integration, data transfer, data preparation etc. State-of-the-art (SOTA) architectures in Ontology Alignment typically use naive domain-dependent approaches with handcrafted rules and manually assigned values, making them unscalable and inefficient. Deep Learning approaches for ontology alignment use domain-specific architectures that are not only in-extensible to other datasets and domains, but also typically perform worse than rule-based approaches due to various limitations including over-fitting of models, sparsity of datasets etc. In this work, we propose VeeAlign, a Deep Learning based model that uses a dual-attention mechanism to compute the contextualized representation of a concept in order to learn alignments. By doing so, not only does our approach exploit both syntactic and semantic structure of ontologies, it is also, by design, flexible and scalable to different domains with minimal effort. We validate our approach on various datasets from different domains and in multilingual settings, and show its superior performance over SOTA methods.