Using Adaptive Bandit Experiments to Increase and Investigate Engagement in Mental Health

Digital mental health (DMH) interventions, such as text-message-based lessons and activities, offer immense potential for accessible mental health support. While these interventions can be effective, real-world experimental testing can further enhance their design and impact. Adaptive experimentation, utilizing algorithms like Thompson Sampling for (contextual) multi-armed bandit (MAB) problems, can lead to continuous improvement and personalization. However, it remains unclear when these algorithms can simultaneously increase user experience rewards and facilitate appropriate data collection for social-behavioral scientists to analyze with sufficient statistical confidence. Although a growing body of research addresses the practical and statistical aspects of MAB and other adaptive algorithms, further exploration is needed to assess their impact across diverse real-world contexts. This paper presents a software system developed over two years that allows text-messaging intervention components to be adapted using bandit and other algorithms while collecting data for side-by-side comparison with traditional uniform random non-adaptive experiments. We evaluate the system by deploying a text-message-based DMH intervention to 1100 users, recruited through a large mental health non-profit organization, and share the path forward for deploying this system at scale. This system not only enables applications in mental health but could also serve as a model testbed for adaptive experimentation algorithms in other domains.

Impact of Guidance and Interaction Strategies for LLM Use on Learner Performance and Perception

Personalized chatbot-based teaching assistants can be crucial in addressing increasing classroom sizes, especially where direct teacher presence is limited. Large language models (LLMs) offer a promising avenue, with increasing research exploring their educational utility. However, the challenge lies not only in establishing the efficacy of LLMs but also in discerning the nuances of interaction between learners and these models, which impact learners' engagement and results. We conducted a formative study in an undergraduate computer science classroom (N=145) and a controlled experiment on Prolific (N=356) to explore the impact of four pedagogically informed guidance strategies and the interaction between student approaches and LLM responses. Direct LLM answers marginally improved performance, while refining student solutions fostered trust. Our findings suggest a nuanced relationship between the guidance provided and LLM's role in either answering or refining student input. Based on our findings, we provide design recommendations for optimizing learner-LLM interactions.

Is Shapley Explanation for a model unique?

Shapley value has recently become a popular way to explain the predictions of complex and simple machine learning models. This paper is discusses the factors that influence Shapley value. In particular, we explore the relationship between the distribution of a feature and its Shapley value. We extend our analysis by discussing the difference that arises in Shapley explanation for different predicted outcomes from the same model. Our assessment is that Shapley value for particular feature not only depends on its expected mean but on other moments as well such as variance and there are disagreements for baseline prediction, disagreements for signs and most important feature for different outcomes such as probability, log odds, and binary decision generated using same linear probability model (logit/probit). These disagreements not only stay for local explainability but also affect the global feature importance. We conclude that there is no unique Shapley explanation for a given model. It varies with model outcome (Probability/Log-odds/binary decision such as accept vs reject) and hence model application.

Optimizing Oil and Gas Acquisitions Using Recommender Systems

Well acquisition in the oil and gas industry can often be a hit or miss process, with a poor purchase resulting in substantial loss. Recommender systems suggest items (wells) that users (companies) are likely to buy based on past activity, and applying this system to well acquisition can increase company profits. While traditional recommender systems are impactful enough on their own, they are not optimized. This is because they ignore many of the complexities involved in human decision-making, and frequently make subpar recommendations. Using a preexisting Python implementation of a Factorization Machine results in more accurate recommendations based on a user-level ranking system. We train a Factorization Machine model on oil and gas well data that includes features such as elevation, total depth, and location. The model produces recommendations by using similarities between companies and wells, as well as their interactions. Our model has a hit rate of 0.680, reciprocal rank of 0.469, precision of 0.229, and recall of 0.463. These metrics imply that while our model is able to recommend the correct wells in a general sense, it does not match exact wells to companies via relevance. To improve the model's accuracy, future models should incorporate additional features such as the well's production data and ownership duration as these features will produce more accurate recommendations.