Multi-Step Traffic Prediction for Multi-Period Planning in Optical Networks

A multi-period planning framework is proposed that exploits multi-step ahead traffic predictions to address service overprovisioning and improve adaptability to traffic changes, while ensuring the necessary quality-of-service (QoS) levels. An encoder-decoder deep learning model is initially leveraged for multi-step ahead prediction by analyzing real-traffic traces. This information is then exploited by multi-period planning heuristics to efficiently utilize available network resources while minimizing undesired service disruptions (caused due to lightpath re-allocations), with these heuristics outperforming a single-step ahead prediction approach.

Machine Learning for Real-Time Anomaly Detection in Optical Networks

This work proposes a real-time anomaly detection scheme that leverages the multi-step ahead prediction capabilities of encoder-decoder (ED) deep learning models with recurrent units. Specifically, an encoder-decoder is used to model soft-failure evolution over a long future horizon (i.e., for several days ahead) by analyzing past quality-of-transmission (QoT) observations. This information is subsequently used for real-time anomaly detection (e.g., of attack incidents), as the knowledge of how the QoT is expected to evolve allows capturing unexpected network behavior. Specifically, for anomaly detection, a statistical hypothesis testing scheme is used, alleviating the limitations of supervised (SL) and unsupervised learning (UL) schemes, usually applied for this purpose. Indicatively, the proposed scheme eliminates the need for labeled anomalies, required when SL is applied, and the need for on-line analyzing entire datasets to identify abnormal instances (i.e., UL). Overall, it is shown that by utilizing QoT evolution information, the proposed approach can effectively detect abnormal deviations in real-time. Importantly, it is shown that the information concerning soft-failure evolution (i.e., QoT predictions) is essential to accurately detect anomalies.

Modeling Soft-Failure Evolution for Triggering Timely Repair with Low QoT Margins

In this work, the capabilities of an encoder-decoder learning framework are leveraged to predict soft-failure evolution over a long future horizon. This enables the triggering of timely repair actions with low quality-of-transmission (QoT) margins before a costly hard-failure occurs, ultimately reducing the frequency of repair actions and associated operational expenses. Specifically, it is shown that the proposed scheme is capable of triggering a repair action several days prior to the expected day of a hard-failure, contrary to soft-failure detection schemes utilizing rule-based fixed QoT margins, that may lead either to premature repair actions (i.e., several months before the event of a hard-failure) or to repair actions that are taken too late (i.e., after the hard failure has occurred). Both frameworks are evaluated and compared for a lightpath established in an elastic optical network, where soft-failure evolution can be modeled by analyzing bit-error-rate information monitored at the coherent receivers.

SafeDrones: Real-Time Reliability Evaluation of UAVs using Executable Digital Dependable Identities

The use of Unmanned Arial Vehicles (UAVs) offers many advantages across a variety of applications. However, safety assurance is a key barrier to widespread usage, especially given the unpredictable operational and environmental factors experienced by UAVs, which are hard to capture solely at design-time. This paper proposes a new reliability modeling approach called SafeDrones to help address this issue by enabling runtime reliability and risk assessment of UAVs. It is a prototype instantiation of the Executable Digital Dependable Identity (EDDI) concept, which aims to create a model-based solution for real-time, data-driven dependability assurance for multi-robot systems. By providing real-time reliability estimates, SafeDrones allows UAVs to update their missions accordingly in an adaptive manner.

Periodic and Event-Triggering for Joint Capacity Maximization and Safe Intersection Crossing

Intersection crossing represents a bottleneck for transportation systems and Connected Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) may be the groundbreaking solution to the problem. This work proposes a novel framework, i.e, AVOID-PERIOD, where an Intersection Manager (IM) controls CAVs approaching an intersection in order to maximize intersection capacity while minimizing the CAVs' gas consumption. Contrary to most of the works in the literature, the CAVs' location uncertainty is accounted for and periodic communication and re-optimization allows for the creation of safe trajectories for the CAVs. To improve scalability for high-traffic intersections, an event-triggering approach is also developed (AVOID-EVENT) that minimizes computational and communication complexity. AVOID-EVENT reduces the number of re-optimizations required by 92.2%, while retaining most of the benefits introduced by AVOID-PERIOD.

Adaptive Frequency Band Selection for Accurate and Fast Positioning utilizing SOPs

Signals of opportunity (SOPs) are a promising technique that can be used for relative positioning in areas where global navigation satellite system (GNSS) information is unreliable or unavailable. This technique processes features of the various signals transmitted over a broad wireless spectrum to enable a receiver to position itself in space. This work examines the frequency selection problem in order to achieve fast and accurate positioning using only the received signal strength (RSS) of the surrounding signals. Starting with a prior belief, the problem of searching for a frequency band that best matches a predicted location trajectory is investigated. To maximize the accuracy of the position estimate, a ranking-and-selection problem is mathematically formulated. A knowledge-gradient (KG) algorithm from optimal learning theory is proposed that uses correlations in the Bayesian prior beliefs of the frequency band values to dramatically reduce the algorithm's processing time. The technique is experimentally tested for a practical scenario of an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) moving around a GPS-denied environment, with obtained results demonstrating its validity and practical applicability.

An Autonomous Drone System with Jamming and Relative Positioning Capabilities

As the number of unauthorized operations of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) is rising, the implementation of a versatile counter-drone system is becoming a necessity. In this work, we develop a drone-based counter-drone system, that employs algorithms for detecting and tracking a rogue drone, in conjunction with wireless interception capabilities to jointly jam the rogue drone while achieving self positioning for the pursuer drone. In the proposed system a software-defined-radio (SDR) is used for switching between jamming transmissions and spectrum sweeping functionalities to achieve the desired GPS disruption and self-localization, respectively. Extensive field experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed solution in a realworld environment under various parameter settings.

Scheduling Aerial Vehicles in an Urban Air Mobility Scheme

Highly populated cities face several challenges, one of them being the intense traffic congestion. In recent years, the concept of Urban Air Mobility has been put forward by large companies and organizations as a way to address this problem, and this approach has been rapidly gaining ground. This disruptive technology involves aerial vehicles (AVs) for hire than can be utilized by customers to travel between locations within large cities. This concept has the potential to drastically decrease traffic congestion and reduce air pollution, since these vehicles typically use electric motors powered by batteries. This work studies the problem of scheduling the assignment of AVs to customers, having as a goal to maximize the serviced customers and minimize the energy consumption of the AVs by forcing them to fly at the lowest possible altitude. Initially, an Integer Linear Program (ILP) formulation is presented, that is solved offline and optimally, followed by a near-optimal algorithm, that solves the problem incrementally, one AV at a time, to address scalability issues, allowing scheduling in problems involving large numbers of locations, AVs, and customer requests.

Extending the Multiple Traveling Salesman Problem for Scheduling a Fleet of Drones Performing Monitoring Missions

In this paper we schedule the travel path of a set of drones across a graph where the nodes need to be visited multiple times at pre-defined points in time. This is an extension of the well-known multiple traveling salesman problem. The proposed formulation can be applied in several domains such as the monitoring of traffic flows in a transportation network, or the monitoring of remote locations to assist search and rescue missions. Aiming to find the optimal schedule, the problem is formulated as an Integer Linear Program (ILP). Given that the problem is highly combinatorial, the optimal solution scales only for small sized problems. Thus, a greedy algorithm is also proposed that uses a one-step look ahead heuristic search mechanism. In a detailed evaluation, it is observed that the greedy algorithm has near-optimal performance as it is on average at 92.06% of the optimal, while it can potentially scale up to settings with hundreds of drones and locations.

Centralized and Distributed Machine Learning-Based QoT Estimation for Sliceable Optical Networks

Dynamic network slicing has emerged as a promising and fundamental framework for meeting 5G's diverse use cases. As machine learning (ML) is expected to play a pivotal role in the efficient control and management of these networks, in this work we examine the ML-based Quality-of-Transmission (QoT) estimation problem under the dynamic network slicing context, where each slice has to meet a different QoT requirement. We examine ML-based QoT frameworks with the aim of finding QoT model/s that are fine-tuned according to the diverse QoT requirements. Centralized and distributed frameworks are examined and compared according to their accuracy and training time. We show that the distributed QoT models outperform the centralized QoT model, especially as the number of diverse QoT requirements increases.