Deep Neural Networks with 3D Point Clouds for Empirical Friction Measurements in Hydrodynamic Flood Models

Friction is one of the cruxes of hydrodynamic modeling; flood conditions are highly sensitive to the Friction Factors (FFs) used to calculate momentum losses. However, empirical FFs are challenging to measure because they require laboratory experiments. Flood models often rely on surrogate observations (such as land use) to estimate FFs, introducing uncertainty. This research presents a laboratory-trained Deep Neural Network (DNN), trained using flume experiments with data augmentation techniques, to measure Manning's n based on Point Cloud data. The DNN was deployed on real-world lidar Point Clouds to directly measure Manning's n under regulatory and extreme storm events, showing improved prediction capabilities in both 1D and 2D hydrodynamic models. For 1D models, the lidar values decreased differences with regulatory models for in-channel water depth when compared to land cover values. For 1D/2D coupled models, the lidar values produced better agreement with flood extents measured from airborne imagery, while better matching flood insurance claim data for Hurricane Harvey. In both 1D and 1D/2D coupled models, lidar resulted in better agreement with validation gauges. For these reasons, the lidar measurements of Manning's n were found to improve both regulatory models and forecasts for extreme storm events, while simultaneously providing a pathway to standardize the measurement of FFs. Changing FFs significantly affected fluvial and pluvial flood models, while surge flooding was generally unaffected. Downstream flow conditions were found to change the importance of FFs to fluvial models, advancing the literature of friction in flood models. This research introduces a reliable, repeatable, and readily-accessible avenue to measure high-resolution FFs based on 3D point clouds, improving flood prediction, and removing uncertainty from hydrodynamic modeling.

Deep Learning Hydrodynamic Forecasting for Flooded Region Assessment in Near-Real-Time (DL Hydro-FRAN)

Hydrodynamic flood modeling improves hydrologic and hydraulic prediction of storm events. However, the computationally intensive numerical solutions required for high-resolution hydrodynamics have historically prevented their implementation in near-real-time flood forecasting. This study examines whether several Deep Neural Network (DNN) architectures are suitable for optimizing hydrodynamic flood models. Several pluvial flooding events were simulated in a low-relief high-resolution urban environment using a 2D HEC-RAS hydrodynamic model. These simulations were assembled into a training set for the DNNs, which were then used to forecast flooding depths and velocities. The DNNs' forecasts were compared to the hydrodynamic flood models, and showed good agreement, with a median RMSE of around 2 mm for cell flooding depths in the study area. The DNNs also improved forecast computation time significantly, with the DNNs providing forecasts between 34.2 and 72.4 times faster than conventional hydrodynamic models. The study area showed little change between HEC-RAS' Full Momentum Equations and Diffusion Equations, however, important numerical stability considerations were discovered that impact equation selection and DNN architecture configuration. Overall, the results from this study show that DNNs can greatly optimize hydrodynamic flood modeling, and enable near-real-time hydrodynamic flood forecasting.