Towards Intelligent Energy Security: A Unified Spatio-Temporal and Graph Learning Framework for Scalable Electricity Theft Detection in Smart Grids

Electricity theft and non-technical losses (NTLs) remain critical challenges in modern smart grids, causing significant economic losses and compromising grid reliability. This study introduces the SmartGuard Energy Intelligence System (SGEIS), an integrated artificial intelligence framework for electricity theft detection and intelligent energy monitoring. The proposed system combines supervised machine learning, deep learning-based time-series modeling, Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM), and graph-based learning to capture both temporal and spatial consumption patterns. A comprehensive data processing pipeline is developed, incorporating feature engineering, multi-scale temporal analysis, and rule-based anomaly labeling. Deep learning models, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN), and Autoencoders, are employed to detect abnormal usage patterns. In parallel, ensemble learning methods such as Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, and LightGBM are utilized for classification. To model grid topology and spatial dependencies, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are applied to identify correlated anomalies across interconnected nodes. The NILM module enhances interpretability by disaggregating appliance-level consumption from aggregate signals. Experimental results demonstrate strong performance, with Gradient Boosting achieving a ROC-AUC of 0.894, while graph-based models attain over 96% accuracy in identifying high-risk nodes. The hybrid framework improves detection robustness by integrating temporal, statistical, and spatial intelligence. Overall, SGEIS provides a scalable and practical solution for electricity theft detection, offering high accuracy, improved interpretability, and strong potential for real-world smart grid deployment.

Graph-Based Deep Learning for Intelligent Detection of Energy Losses, Theft, and Operational Inefficiencies in Oil & Gas Production Networks

Early detection of energy losses, theft, and operational inefficiencies remains a critical challenge in oil and gas production systems due to complex interdependencies among wells and facilities, evolving operating conditions, and limited labeled anomaly data. Traditional machine learning approaches often treat production units independently and struggle under temporal distribution shifts. This study proposes a spatiotemporal graph-based deep learning framework for anomaly detection in oil and gas production networks. The production system is modeled as a hierarchical graph of wells, facilities, and fields, with additional peer connections among wells sharing common infrastructure. Weakly supervised anomaly labels are derived from physically informed heuristics based on production, pressure, and flow behavior. Temporal dynamics are captured through sequence modeling, while relational dependencies are learned using a Temporal Graph Attention Network. Under time-based evaluation, the proposed model achieves an ROC-AUC of about 0.98 and anomaly recall above 0.93, demonstrating improved robustness and practical potential for proactive monitoring in real-world energy operations.