Spatio-Temporal Grid Intelligence: A Hybrid Graph Neural Network and LSTM Framework for Robust Electricity Theft Detection

Electricity theft, or non-technical loss (NTL), presents a persistent threat to global power systems, driving significant financial deficits and compromising grid stability. Conventional detection methodologies, predominantly reactive and meter-centric, often fail to capture the complex spatio-temporal dynamics and behavioral patterns associated with fraudulent consumption. This study introduces a novel AI-driven Grid Intelligence Framework that fuses Time-Series Anomaly Detection, Supervised Machine Learning, and Graph Neural Networks (GNN) to identify theft with high precision in imbalanced datasets. Leveraging an enriched feature set, including rolling averages, voltage drop estimates, and a critical Grid Imbalance Index, the methodology employs a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) autoencoder for temporal anomaly scoring, a Random Forest classifier for tabular feature discrimination, and a GNN to model spatial dependencies across the distribution network. Experimental validation demonstrates that while standalone anomaly detection yields a low theft F1-score of 0.20, the proposed hybrid fusion achieves an overall accuracy of 93.7%. By calibrating decision thresholds via precision-recall analysis, the system attains a balanced theft precision of 0.55 and recall of 0.50, effectively mitigating the false positives inherent in single-model approaches. These results confirm that integrating topological grid awareness with temporal and supervised analytics provides a scalable, risk-based solution for proactive electricity theft detection and enhanced smart grid reliability.

Graph-Based Deep Learning for Intelligent Detection of Energy Losses, Theft, and Operational Inefficiencies in Oil & Gas Production Networks

Early detection of energy losses, theft, and operational inefficiencies remains a critical challenge in oil and gas production systems due to complex interdependencies among wells and facilities, evolving operating conditions, and limited labeled anomaly data. Traditional machine learning approaches often treat production units independently and struggle under temporal distribution shifts. This study proposes a spatiotemporal graph-based deep learning framework for anomaly detection in oil and gas production networks. The production system is modeled as a hierarchical graph of wells, facilities, and fields, with additional peer connections among wells sharing common infrastructure. Weakly supervised anomaly labels are derived from physically informed heuristics based on production, pressure, and flow behavior. Temporal dynamics are captured through sequence modeling, while relational dependencies are learned using a Temporal Graph Attention Network. Under time-based evaluation, the proposed model achieves an ROC-AUC of about 0.98 and anomaly recall above 0.93, demonstrating improved robustness and practical potential for proactive monitoring in real-world energy operations.