Confidence Matters: Uncertainty Quantification and Precision Assessment of Deep Learning-based CMR Biomarker Estimates Using Scan-rescan Data

The performance of deep learning (DL) methods for the analysis of cine cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) is typically assessed in terms of accuracy, overlooking precision. In this work, uncertainty estimation techniques, namely deep ensemble, test-time augmentation, and Monte Carlo dropout, are applied to a state-of-the-art DL pipeline for cardiac functional biomarker estimation, and new distribution-based metrics are proposed for the assessment of biomarker precision. The model achieved high accuracy (average Dice 87%) and point estimate precision on two external validation scan-rescan CMR datasets. However, distribution-based metrics showed that the overlap between scan/rescan confidence intervals was >50% in less than 45% of the cases. Statistical similarity tests between scan and rescan biomarkers also resulted in significant differences for over 65% of the cases. We conclude that, while point estimate metrics might suggest good performance, distributional analyses reveal lower precision, highlighting the need to use more representative metrics to assess scan-rescan agreement.

Improving the Scan-rescan Precision of AI-based CMR Biomarker Estimation

Quantification of cardiac biomarkers from cine cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) data using deep learning (DL) methods offers many advantages, such as increased accuracy and faster analysis. However, only a few studies have focused on the scan-rescan precision of the biomarker estimates, which is important for reproducibility and longitudinal analysis. Here, we propose a cardiac biomarker estimation pipeline that not only focuses on achieving high segmentation accuracy but also on improving the scan-rescan precision of the computed biomarkers, namely left and right ventricular ejection fraction, and left ventricular myocardial mass. We evaluate two approaches to improve the apical-basal resolution of the segmentations used for estimating the biomarkers: one based on image interpolation and one based on segmentation interpolation. Using a database comprising scan-rescan cine CMR data acquired from 92 subjects, we compare the performance of these two methods against ground truth (GT) segmentations and DL segmentations obtained before interpolation (baseline). The results demonstrate that both the image-based and segmentation-based interpolation methods were able to narrow Bland-Altman scan-rescan confidence intervals for all biomarkers compared to the GT and baseline performances. Our findings highlight the importance of focusing not only on segmentation accuracy but also on the consistency of biomarkers across repeated scans, which is crucial for longitudinal analysis of cardiac function.