Testing the Assumptions of Active Learning for Translation Tasks with Few Samples

Active learning (AL) is a training paradigm for selecting unlabeled samples for annotation to improve model performance on a test set, which is useful when only a limited number of samples can be annotated. These algorithms often work by optimizing for the informativeness and diversity of the training data to be annotated. Recent work found that AL strategies fail to outperform random sampling on various language generation tasks when using 100-500 samples. To understand AL's poor performance when only using few samples, we investigate whether the core assumptions underlying AL strategies hold. We find that neither the informativeness nor diversity of the training data, which AL strategies optimize for, are correlated with test set performance. Instead, factors like the ordering of the training samples and interactions with pre-training data have a larger impact on performance. This suggests that future AL methods must take these factors into account in order to work with very few samples.

Confident in a Confidence Score: Investigating the Sensitivity of Confidence Scores to Supervised Fine-Tuning

Uncertainty quantification is a set of techniques that measure confidence in language models. They can be used, for example, to detect hallucinations or alert users to review uncertain predictions. To be useful, these confidence scores must be correlated with the quality of the output. However, recent work found that fine-tuning can affect the correlation between confidence scores and quality. Hence, we investigate the underlying behavior of confidence scores to understand its sensitivity to supervised fine-tuning (SFT). We find that post-SFT, the correlation of various confidence scores degrades, which can stem from changes in confidence scores due to factors other than the output quality, such as the output's similarity to the training distribution. We demonstrate via a case study how failing to address this miscorrelation reduces the usefulness of the confidence scores on a downstream task. Our findings show how confidence metrics cannot be used off-the-shelf without testing, and motivate the need for developing metrics which are more robust to fine-tuning.